FanBoardHQ

Washington

University of Washington · 2022 · Pac-12

FanBoardHQ CFP
#13
Efficiency
+14.9
17th FBS
Record
11-2
Conf. record
7-2
Conf. finish
T-3rd
of 12
Washington Fanboard →

Washington went 11-2 and was ranked 13th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 6th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 68th-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 62% of offensive plays with an 8th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 38% of plays with a 20th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
3-1
Q2
1-0
Q3
1-1
Q4
6-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 11.0 wins
Strength of Record
12th
+2.3 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
58th
full season
58th
CFP committee
#12
FanBoardHQ has them 1 spots lower
Conf. sched. difficulty
69th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.8 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Kent StateMid-American#94W 4520+26.6100%22.9Q4
2vs Portland StateBig SkyW 526+43.4100%13.5Q4
3vs Michigan StateBig Ten#67W 3928+17.6100%13.2Q4
4vs StanfordPac-12#102W 4022+24.1100%16.1Q4
5@ UCLAPac-12#25L 3240+2.40%0.7Q1
6@ Arizona StatePac-12#106L 3845+16.70%-12.6Q3
7vs ArizonaPac-12#72W 4939+18.5100%6.6Q4
8@ CaliforniaPac-12#85W 2821+12.2100%10.9Q3
10vs Oregon StatePac-12#12W 2421+0.3100%16.8Q1
11@ OregonPac-12#11W 3734-4.3100%24.5Q1
12vs ColoradoPac-12#129W 547+36.8100%24.3Q4
13@ Washington StatePac-12#42W 5133+2.8100%29.7Q2
Postseason
vs TexasBig 12#17W 2720-5.3100%25.7Q1

13 played · 11-2. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Washington, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-9.3+8.5+26.3231313161-1371117242430Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 8th
SR 7thYPP 7thEPA 9th
RushingEff 20th
SR 14thYPP 47thEPA 9th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 62nd
SR 53rdYPP 65thEPA 75th
Rush defenseEff 48th
SR 65thYPP 35thEPA 51st
Dropback rate 62%Tempo +4.2 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 77th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 48%1st · Defense allowed: 43%1st2nd · Offense: 53%2nd · Defense allowed: 44%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 60%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 46%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 114.0Q1 · Allowed: 47.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 139.0Q2 · Allowed: 85.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 139.0Q3 · Allowed: 111.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 120.0Q4 · Allowed: 76.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledWashingtonOffenseDefense
Washington Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 6th
+15.5
Field position: -0.4Finishing drives: +15.9
Field position -0.4Finishing drives +15.9= +15.5
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 81st · Finishing 5th

Defensive EffRanked 68th
+0.3
Field position: +1.0Finishing drives: -0.7
Field position +1.0Finishing drives -0.7= +0.3
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 36th · Finishing 75th

3.57 points per drive on offense, 2.29 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(237)58% / 42%56%7.3
Q2(252)72% / 28%51%6.8
Q3(229)57% / 43%60%8.3
Q4(245)53% / 47%44%6.0
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(276)9.952%8.9
2nd(181)7.952%7.1
3rd(107)7.554%8.5
4th(15)9.560%8.9
All (579)53%8.3
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(175)9.342%4.9
2nd(122)7.255%6.6
3rd(74)3.369%4.5
4th(13)1.262%3.7
All (384)52%5.3

Washington, all games.