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Stanford

Stanford University · 2022 · Pac-12

FanBoardHQ CFP
#102
Efficiency
-6.5
90th FBS
Record
3-9
Conf. record
1-8
Conf. finish
T-11th
of 12
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Stanford went 3-9 and was ranked 102nd in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 81st-ranked defense carried them, with a 100th-ranked offense. They passed the ball on 60% of offensive plays with an 89th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 40% of plays with an 82nd-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
1-6
Q2
0-1
Q3
0-1
Q4
2-1

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 3.0 wins
Strength of Record
107th
-3.6 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
9th
full season
9th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
26th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.4 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs ColgatePatriotW 4110+30.3100%-0.6Q4
2vs USCPac-12#10L 2841-19.40%-2.0Q1
4@ WashingtonPac-12#13L 2240-24.10%-7.8Q1
5@ OregonPac-12#11L 2745-25.70%-10.8Q1
6vs Oregon StatePac-12#12L 2728-21.00%10.6Q1
7@ Notre DameFBS Independents#21W 1614-21.0100%16.4Q1
8vs Arizona StatePac-12#106W 1514+0.8100%-5.6Q4
9@ UCLAPac-12#25L 1338-19.00%-16.2Q1
10vs Washington StatePac-12#42L 1452-13.10%-31.9Q2
11@ UtahPac-12#14L 742-29.00%-8.0Q1
12@ CaliforniaPac-12#85L 2027-9.20%-4.7Q3
13vs BYUFBS Independents#57L 2635-4.10%-18.2Q4

12 played · 3-9. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Stanford, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-28.0-7.7+12.5-1-2-8-111116-6-16-32-8-5-18Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 89th
SR 97thYPP 90thEPA 93rd
RushingEff 82nd
SR 53rdYPP 104thEPA 93rd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 37th
SR 26thYPP 39thEPA 43rd
Rush defenseEff 137th
SR 137thYPP 138thEPA 137th
Dropback rate 60%Tempo -4.7 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 64th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 42%1st · Defense allowed: 51%1st2nd · Offense: 45%2nd · Defense allowed: 45%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 40%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 42%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 64.0Q1 · Allowed: 100.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 64.0Q2 · Allowed: 111.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 41.0Q3 · Allowed: 70.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 88.0Q4 · Allowed: 87.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledStanfordOffenseDefense
Stanford Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 100th
-6.0
Field position: -1.9Finishing drives: -4.1
Field position -1.9Finishing drives -4.1= -6.0
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 125th · Finishing 91st

Defensive EffRanked 81st
-2.0
Field position: -0.2Finishing drives: -1.8
Field position -0.2Finishing drives -1.8= -2.0
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 74th · Finishing 83rd

1.82 points per drive on offense, 2.63 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 25.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(189)53% / 47%48%6.2
Q2(210)65% / 35%42%5.6
Q3(178)63% / 37%40%5.4
Q4(226)58% / 42%41%4.8
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(189)10.142%6.1
2nd(171)8.342%6.1
3rd(107)7.935%5.5
4th(12)4.950%5.1
All (479)41%5.9
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(167)9.443%5.3
2nd(96)6.949%4.3
3rd(52)5.744%4.0
4th(9)2.767%5.3
All (324)45%4.8

Stanford, all games.

Stanford Football 2022 — Efficiency & Rankings · FanBoardHQ