FanBoardHQ

UCLA

University of California, Los Angeles · 2022 · Pac-12

FanBoardHQ CFP
#25
Efficiency
+9.7
29th FBS
Record
9-4
Conf. record
6-3
Conf. finish
T-5th
of 12
UCLA Fanboard →

UCLA went 9-4 and was ranked 25th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 8th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by an 82nd-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 51% of offensive plays with a 5th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 49% of plays with a 12th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
2-2
Q2
0-1
Q3
2-0
Q4
5-1

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 9.0 wins
Strength of Record
25th
+0.0 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
61st
full season
61st
CFP committee
#18
FanBoardHQ has them 7 spots lower
Conf. sched. difficulty
68th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.7 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Bowling GreenMid-American#104W 4517+29.4100%2.9Q4
2vs Alabama StateSWACW 457+43.9100%2.3Q4
3vs South AlabamaSun Belt#53W 3231+13.0100%-1.8Q4
4@ ColoradoPac-12#129W 4517+26.1100%15.0Q4
5vs WashingtonPac-12#13W 4032-2.4100%23.9Q1
6vs UtahPac-12#14W 4232-7.3100%26.1Q1
8@ OregonPac-12#11L 3045-9.50%3.2Q1
9vs StanfordPac-12#102W 3813+19.0100%19.4Q4
10@ Arizona StatePac-12#106W 5036+11.5100%16.9Q3
11vs ArizonaPac-12#72L 2834+13.40%-11.8Q4
12vs USCPac-12#10L 4548-3.20%12.9Q1
13@ CaliforniaPac-12#85W 3528+7.0100%7.7Q3
Postseason
vs PittsburghACC#26L 3537-0.00%9.3Q2

13 played · 9-4. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on UCLA, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-8.8+7.2+23.132-215242631917-12138Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 12th
SR 6thYPP 17thEPA 14th
RushingEff 5th
SR 7thYPP 15thEPA 7th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 74th
SR 105thYPP 56thEPA 56th
Rush defenseEff 74th
SR 78thYPP 59thEPA 77th
Dropback rate 49%Tempo +6.1 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 67th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 56%1st · Defense allowed: 48%1st2nd · Offense: 53%2nd · Defense allowed: 46%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 53%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 44%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 114.0Q1 · Allowed: 63.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 151.0Q2 · Allowed: 123.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 117.0Q3 · Allowed: 70.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 118.0Q4 · Allowed: 102.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledUCLAOffenseDefense
UCLA Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 8th
+13.3
Field position: +0.2Finishing drives: +13.1
Field position +0.2Finishing drives +13.1= +13.3
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 53rd · Finishing 7th

Defensive EffRanked 82nd
-2.4
Field position: +0.4Finishing drives: -2.8
Field position +0.4Finishing drives -2.8= -2.4
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 57th · Finishing 89th

3.38 points per drive on offense, 2.42 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 31.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(210)51% / 49%55%7.1
Q2(271)56% / 44%58%8.3
Q3(225)43% / 57%52%6.9
Q4(222)39% / 61%52%6.7
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(202)9.957%7.9
2nd(123)8.150%8.6
3rd(102)7.244%7.2
4th(16)5.156%9.3
All (443)52%8.0
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(239)9.755%6.6
2nd(175)6.355%6.6
3rd(62)4.263%6.8
4th(9)2.478%8.9
All (485)57%6.7

UCLA, all games.