FanBoardHQ

Colorado

University of Colorado Boulder · 2022 · Pac-12

FanBoardHQ CFP
#129
Efficiency
-19.1
125th FBS
Record
1-11
Conf. record
1-8
Conf. finish
T-11th
of 12
Colorado Fanboard →

Colorado went 1-11 and was ranked 129th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 113th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by an 115th-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 51% of offensive plays with a 131st-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 49% of plays with a 131st-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-7
Q2
0-2
Q3
0-1
Q4
1-1

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 1.0 wins
Strength of Record
128th
-5.0 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
1st
full season
1st
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
37th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.7 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs TCUBig 12#2L 1338-34.70%-15.3Q1
2@ Air ForceMountain West#45L 1041-27.80%-14.0Q2
3@ MinnesotaBig Ten#24L 749-33.60%-28.3Q1
4vs UCLAPac-12#25L 1745-26.10%-24.4Q2
5@ ArizonaPac-12#72L 2043-21.00%-28.0Q3
7vs CaliforniaPac-12#85W 2013-16.3100%-1.8Q4
8@ Oregon StatePac-12#12L 942-39.20%-16.1Q1
9vs Arizona StatePac-12#106L 3442-11.90%-16.1Q4
10vs OregonPac-12#11L 1049-32.90%-19.5Q1
11@ USCPac-12#10L 1755-37.50%-9.9Q1
12@ WashingtonPac-12#13L 754-36.80%-29.3Q1
13vs UtahPac-12#14L 2163-36.10%-27.1Q1

12 played · 1-11. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Colorado, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-27.0-14.7-2.3-15-14-28-24-28-2-16-16-20-10-29-27Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 131st
SR 135thYPP 127thEPA 129th
RushingEff 131st
SR 122ndYPP 135thEPA 128th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 118th
SR 122ndYPP 100thEPA 119th
Rush defenseEff 107th
SR 106thYPP 111thEPA 98th
Dropback rate 49%Tempo -11.1 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 66th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 43%1st · Defense allowed: 53%1st2nd · Offense: 36%2nd · Defense allowed: 57%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 34%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 53%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 16.0Q1 · Allowed: 118.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 57.0Q2 · Allowed: 160.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 48.0Q3 · Allowed: 128.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 59.0Q4 · Allowed: 111.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledColoradoOffenseDefense
Colorado Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 113th
-8.6
Field position: -0.2Finishing drives: -8.4
Field position -0.2Finishing drives -8.4= -8.6
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 66th · Finishing 114th

Defensive EffRanked 115th
-8.6
Field position: -2.3Finishing drives: -6.3
Field position -2.3Finishing drives -6.3= -8.6
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 124th · Finishing 112th

1.28 points per drive on offense, 3.66 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 28.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(161)45% / 55%33%3.5
Q2(194)54% / 46%36%5.3
Q3(168)49% / 51%36%4.8
Q4(191)57% / 43%47%5.5
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(143)10.043%5.7
2nd(110)8.436%5.2
3rd(98)8.222%4.8
4th(18)8.833%5.1
All (369)35%5.3
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(151)9.844%4.9
2nd(119)7.936%4.4
3rd(62)5.447%3.8
4th(13)1.654%1.5
All (345)42%4.4

Colorado, all games.