FanBoardHQ

UAB

University of Alabama at Birmingham · 2023 · American Athletic

FanBoardHQ CFP
#114
Efficiency
-13.7
112th FBS
Record
4-8
Conf. record
3-5
Conf. finish
T-8th
of 14
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UAB went 4-8 and was ranked 114th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 74th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 128th-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 51% of offensive plays with a 29th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 49% of plays with a 71st-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
0-1
Q3
0-2
Q4
4-4

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 4.0 wins
Strength of Record
109th
-5.5 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
97th
full season
97th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
100th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.7 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs North Carolina A&TCoastal AthleticW 356+23.6100%-2.7Q4
2@ Georgia SouthernSun Belt#95L 3549-7.70%-19.2Q4
3vs LouisianaSun Belt#87L 2141-6.20%-35.5Q4
4@ GeorgiaSEC#5L 2149-42.00%-4.1Q1
5@ TulaneAmerican Athletic#37L 2335-18.50%-7.5Q2
6vs South FloridaAmerican Athletic#82W 5635-2.1100%15.5Q4
7@ UTSAAmerican Athletic#55L 2041-16.70%-17.3Q3
8vs MemphisAmerican Athletic#36L 2145-14.80%-25.7Q3
10vs Florida AtlanticAmerican Athletic#111W 4542-1.2100%-9.9Q4
11@ NavyAmerican Athletic#102L 631-2.30%-33.7Q4
12vs TempleAmerican Athletic#129W 3424+10.3100%-13.7Q4
13@ North TexasAmerican Athletic#99L 4245-5.50%-10.5Q4

12 played · 4-8. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on UAB, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-31.4-10.0+11.4-3-19-36-4-715-17-26-10-34-14-11Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 71st
SR 77thYPP 60thEPA 70th
RushingEff 29th
SR 48thYPP 28thEPA 25th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 49th
SR 61stYPP 59thEPA 39th
Rush defenseEff 137th
SR 130thYPP 135thEPA 137th
Dropback rate 49%Tempo -1.1 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 94th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 51%1st · Defense allowed: 47%1st2nd · Offense: 48%2nd · Defense allowed: 50%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 44%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 50%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 76.0Q1 · Allowed: 94.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 141.0Q2 · Allowed: 104.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 45.0Q3 · Allowed: 106.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 93.0Q4 · Allowed: 123.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledUABOffenseDefense
UAB Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 74th
-1.0
Field position: -1.7Finishing drives: +0.7
Field position -1.7Finishing drives +0.7= -1.0
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 118th · Finishing 56th

Defensive EffRanked 128th
-12.5
Field position: -1.9Finishing drives: -10.6
Field position -1.9Finishing drives -10.6= -12.5
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 123rd · Finishing 127th

2.46 points per drive on offense, 3.04 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 29.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(205)48% / 52%45%7.1
Q2(233)52% / 48%53%7.1
Q3(175)56% / 44%41%6.2
Q4(219)61% / 39%52%6.8
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(178)10.154%7.5
2nd(168)8.043%8.2
3rd(91)8.934%6.0
4th(13)5.546%6.0
All (450)46%7.4
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(206)9.648%6.2
2nd(100)6.755%7.0
3rd(64)4.953%5.2
4th(12)1.367%1.7
All (382)51%6.1

UAB, all games.