FanBoardHQ

Memphis

University of Memphis · 2023 · American Athletic

FanBoardHQ CFP
#36
Efficiency
+3.8
50th FBS
Record
10-3
Conf. record
6-2
Conf. finish
4th
of 14
Memphis Fanboard →

Memphis went 10-3 and was ranked 36th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 19th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 100th-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 59% of offensive plays with a 30th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 41% of plays with an 80th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
1-1
Q2
0-1
Q3
1-1
Q4
8-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 10.0 wins
Strength of Record
32nd
-0.2 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
90th
full season
90th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
110th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.9 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Bethune-CookmanSWACW 5614+40.5100%-4.4Q4
2@ Arkansas StateSun Belt#91W 373+10.5100%28.5Q4
3vs NavyAmerican Athletic#102W 2824+20.8100%-13.3Q4
4vs MissouriSEC#8L 2734-14.50%11.5Q1
5vs Boise StateMountain West#49W 3532-0.2100%8.8Q3
7vs TulaneAmerican Athletic#37L 2131+4.50%-11.3Q3
8@ UABAmerican Athletic#114W 4521+14.8100%15.9Q4
9@ North TexasAmerican Athletic#99W 4542+12.0100%-3.5Q4
10vs South FloridaAmerican Athletic#82W 5950+15.4100%-0.7Q4
11@ CharlotteAmerican Athletic#125W 4438+19.5100%-12.7Q4
12vs SMUAmerican Athletic#31L 3438-3.50%1.0Q2
13@ TempleAmerican Athletic#129W 4521+22.3100%7.3Q4
Postseason
@ Iowa StateBig 12#39W 3626-9.6100%22.7Q1

13 played · 10-3. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Memphis, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-10.0+7.6+25.1-428-13129-1116-4-1-1317Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 30th
SR 25thYPP 32ndEPA 38th
RushingEff 80th
SR 45thYPP 104thEPA 80th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 68th
SR 105thYPP 92ndEPA 37th
Rush defenseEff 104th
SR 106thYPP 110thEPA 102nd
Dropback rate 59%Tempo +6.7 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 68th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 47%1st · Defense allowed: 46%1st2nd · Offense: 47%2nd · Defense allowed: 45%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 48%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 34%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 124.0Q1 · Allowed: 73.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 131.0Q2 · Allowed: 91.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 104.0Q3 · Allowed: 80.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 121.0Q4 · Allowed: 107.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledMemphisOffenseDefense
Memphis Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 19th
+8.0
Field position: +2.9Finishing drives: +5.1
Field position +2.9Finishing drives +5.1= +8.0
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 3rd · Finishing 30th

Defensive EffRanked 100th
-4.2
Field position: -1.0Finishing drives: -3.2
Field position -1.0Finishing drives -3.2= -4.2
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 98th · Finishing 95th

2.71 points per drive on offense, 1.96 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 35.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(240)54% / 46%49%7.1
Q2(230)66% / 34%44%6.2
Q3(191)55% / 45%50%7.2
Q4(236)45% / 55%45%5.9
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(189)10.351%7.3
2nd(178)8.146%8.3
3rd(115)7.742%8.4
4th(12)5.358%8.2
All (494)47%7.9
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(221)9.343%4.8
2nd(110)6.348%5.3
3rd(56)3.754%5.6
4th(16)1.369%3.1
All (403)47%5.0

Memphis, all games.