FanBoardHQ

Tulane

Tulane University · 2023 · American Athletic

FanBoardHQ CFP
#37
Efficiency
+2.1
58th FBS
Record
11-3
Conf. record
8-1
Conf. finish
2nd
of 14
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Tulane went 11-3 and was ranked 37th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 30th-ranked defense carried them, with a 78th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 56% of offensive plays with an 116th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 44% of plays with a 25th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
1-2
Q3
1-0
Q4
9-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
Expected: 11.0 wins
Strength of Record
31st
-0.1 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
96th
full season
96th
Conf. sched. difficulty
128th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.4 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs South AlabamaSun Belt#70W 3717+0.9100%18.9Q3
2vs Ole MissSEC#10L 2037-10.50%-3.8Q1
3@ Southern MissSun Belt#119W 213+15.2100%6.6Q4
4vs NichollsSouthlandW 367+23.8100%11.7Q4
5vs UABAmerican Athletic#114W 3523+18.5100%-4.1Q4
7@ MemphisAmerican Athletic#36W 3121-4.5100%17.2Q2
8vs North TexasAmerican Athletic#99W 3528+15.7100%-2.8Q4
9@ RiceAmerican Athletic#88W 3028+6.2100%-2.0Q4
10@ East CarolinaAmerican Athletic#128W 1310+10.7100%-6.1Q4
11vs TulsaAmerican Athletic#113W 2422+20.3100%-18.4Q4
12@ Florida AtlanticAmerican Athletic#111W 248+9.0100%16.8Q4
13vs UTSAAmerican Athletic#55W 2916+4.5100%11.8Q4
14vs SMUAmerican Athletic#31L 1426-5.30%-4.5Q2
Postseason
vs Virginia TechACC#58L 2041-3.80%-12.4Q2

14 played · 11-3. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Tulane, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-15.4+0.3+16.019-4712-417-3-2-6-181712-5Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 25th
SR 19thYPP 26thEPA 28th
RushingEff 116th
SR 104thYPP 116thEPA 117th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 61st
SR 81stYPP 43rdEPA 61st
Rush defenseEff 30th
SR 38thYPP 30thEPA 29th
Dropback rate 44%Tempo +2.5 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 71st on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 44%1st · Defense allowed: 42%1st2nd · Offense: 40%2nd · Defense allowed: 43%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 43%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 40%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 100.0Q1 · Allowed: 51.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 111.0Q2 · Allowed: 78.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 80.0Q3 · Allowed: 75.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 59.0Q4 · Allowed: 77.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledTulaneOffenseDefense
Tulane Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 78th
-1.6
Field position: +1.8Finishing drives: -3.4
Field position +1.8Finishing drives -3.4= -1.6
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 16th · Finishing 93rd

Defensive EffRanked 30th
+5.3
Field position: +1.0Finishing drives: +4.3
Field position +1.0Finishing drives +4.3= +5.3
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 32nd · Finishing 30th

2.21 points per drive on offense, 1.75 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 34.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(202)49% / 51%46%6.6
Q2(222)47% / 53%42%6.3
Q3(206)40% / 60%51%6.7
Q4(245)41% / 59%32%4.7
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(160)9.950%8.1
2nd(105)8.151%8.0
3rd(100)7.333%6.2
4th(22)5.955%6.0
All (387)46%7.5
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(225)9.740%5.1
2nd(172)7.534%5.0
3rd(81)5.447%4.2
4th(10)1.380%2.4
All (488)40%4.9

Tulane, all games.