Charlotte
University of North Carolina at Charlotte · 2023 · American Athletic
Charlotte went 3-9 and was ranked 125th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 105th-ranked defense carried them, with a 130th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 54% of offensive plays with an 115th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 46% of plays with a 128th-ranked passing attack.
Quadrant record
By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.
Projected wins
Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.
The resume
Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).
| Wk | Opponent | Conf | Opp rank | Result | Exp. margin | Win prob | GameScore | Quad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs South Carolina State | MEAC | — | W 24–3 | +19.8 | 100% | -16.8 | Q4 |
| 2 | @ Maryland | Big Ten | #35 | L 20–38 | -30.6 | 0% | -7.0 | Q1 |
| 3 | vs Georgia State | Sun Belt | #77 | L 25–41 | -9.4 | 0% | -26.0 | Q4 |
| 4 | @ Florida | SEC | #66 | L 7–22 | -25.2 | 0% | -8.9 | Q2 |
| 5 | @ SMU | American Athletic | #31 | L 16–34 | -31.2 | 0% | -9.4 | Q1 |
| 7 | vs Navy | American Athletic | #102 | L 0–14 | -1.5 | 0% | -30.0 | Q4 |
| 8 | @ East Carolina | American Athletic | #128 | W 10–7 | -9.7 | 100% | -5.2 | Q4 |
| 9 | vs Florida Atlantic | American Athletic | #111 | L 16–38 | -5.9 | 0% | -35.0 | Q4 |
| 10 | @ Tulsa | American Athletic | #113 | W 33–26 | -5.7 | 100% | -13.3 | Q4 |
| 11 | vs Memphis | American Athletic | #36 | L 38–44 | -19.5 | 0% | -1.8 | Q3 |
| 12 | vs Rice | American Athletic | #88 | L 7–28 | -8.8 | 0% | -35.8 | Q4 |
| 13 | @ South Florida | American Athletic | #82 | L 14–48 | -12.3 | 0% | -31.3 | Q4 |
12 played · 3-9. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.
The season
The model’s read on Charlotte, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.
Passing & rushing
Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.
Their offense vs. what their defense allows.
Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.
What kind of team is this?
Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.
Field position 81st · Finishing 132nd
Field position 104th · Finishing 103rd
1.32 points per drive on offense, 2.21 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.
Play-calling & efficiency
What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.
| Quarter (att.) | Pass / rush | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1(166) | 41% / 59% | 23% | 3.8 |
| Q2(217) | 47% / 53% | 37% | 5.4 |
| Q3(166) | 42% / 58% | 39% | 4.8 |
| Q4(221) | 50% / 50% | 40% | 5.5 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(118) | 10.2 | 38% | 5.0 |
| 2nd(114) | 8.9 | 34% | 5.3 |
| 3rd(102) | 8.8 | 25% | 5.4 |
| 4th(17) | 5.5 | 47% | 3.4 |
| All (351) | — | 34% | 5.1 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(204) | 9.8 | 36% | 4.6 |
| 2nd(138) | 7.9 | 38% | 5.4 |
| 3rd(61) | 6.8 | 28% | 3.6 |
| 4th(15) | 1.5 | 73% | 6.7 |
| All (419) | — | 37% | 4.8 |
Charlotte, all games.