FanBoardHQ

Utah

University of Utah · 2022 · Pac-12

FanBoardHQ CFP
#14
Efficiency
+19.8
7th FBS
Record
10-4
Conf. record
8-2
Conf. finish
T-1st
of 12
Utah Fanboard →

Utah went 10-4 and was ranked 14th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 14th-ranked defense carried them, with a 15th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 54% of offensive plays with a 27th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 46% of plays with a 28th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
3-3
Q2
1-1
Q3
1-0
Q4
5-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
Expected: 10.0 wins
Strength of Record
18th
+1.4 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
34th
full season
34th
CFP committee
#8
FanBoardHQ has them 6 spots lower
Conf. sched. difficulty
76th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.9 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ FloridaSEC#46L 2629+8.10%7.5Q2
2vs Southern UtahWestern AthleticW 737+43.3100%22.6Q4
3vs San Diego StateMountain West#79W 357+29.6100%21.6Q4
4@ Arizona StatePac-12#106W 3413+21.5100%27.1Q3
5vs Oregon StatePac-12#12W 4216+5.2100%37.3Q1
6@ UCLAPac-12#25L 3242+7.30%3.4Q1
7vs USCPac-12#10W 4342+6.9100%13.4Q1
9@ Washington StatePac-12#42W 2117+7.6100%15.2Q2
10vs ArizonaPac-12#72W 4520+23.4100%21.4Q4
11vs StanfordPac-12#102W 427+29.0100%21.2Q4
12@ OregonPac-12#11L 1720+0.50%16.8Q1
13@ ColoradoPac-12#129W 6321+36.1100%25.8Q4
14vs USCPac-12#10W 4724+4.1100%36.7Q1
Postseason
vs Penn StateBig Ten#8L 2135+1.10%2.5Q1

14 played · 10-4. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Utah, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

+3.0+18.6+34.3823222737313152121172637Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 28th
SR 20thYPP 33rdEPA 39th
RushingEff 27th
SR 12thYPP 42ndEPA 28th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 14th
SR 9thYPP 32ndEPA 12th
Rush defenseEff 49th
SR 22ndYPP 99thEPA 45th
Dropback rate 46%Tempo +1.7 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 69th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 54%1st · Defense allowed: 42%1st2nd · Offense: 46%2nd · Defense allowed: 38%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 52%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 34%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 69.0Q1 · Allowed: 77.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 166.0Q2 · Allowed: 70.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 115.0Q3 · Allowed: 45.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 97.0Q4 · Allowed: 97.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledUtahOffenseDefense
Utah Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 15th
+9.7
Field position: +2.8Finishing drives: +6.9
Field position +2.8Finishing drives +6.9= +9.7
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 5th · Finishing 23rd

Defensive EffRanked 14th
+9.0
Field position: +2.6Finishing drives: +6.5
Field position +2.6Finishing drives +6.5= +9.0
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 6th · Finishing 21st

2.83 points per drive on offense, 1.85 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 32.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(221)51% / 49%45%5.3
Q2(289)51% / 49%54%6.9
Q3(240)40% / 60%56%8.0
Q4(215)41% / 59%47%5.9
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(217)10.154%7.9
2nd(121)8.538%5.9
3rd(93)8.145%8.0
4th(14)4.443%6.0
All (445)48%7.3
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(242)9.853%5.7
2nd(186)6.352%6.0
3rd(79)3.957%6.3
4th(13)1.577%5.8
All (520)54%5.9

Utah, all games.