FanBoardHQ

Utah

University of Utah · 2023 · Pac-12

FanBoardHQ CFP
#29
Efficiency
+8.3
35th FBS
Record
8-5
Conf. record
5-4
Conf. finish
T-4th
of 12
Utah Fanboard →

Utah went 8-5 and was ranked 29th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 15th-ranked defense carried them, with a 73rd-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 60% of offensive plays with an 81st-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 40% of plays with an 84th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
1-4
Q2
1-0
Q3
2-1
Q4
4-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 8.0 wins
Strength of Record
29th
+0.3 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
16th
full season
16th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
17th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.4 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs FloridaSEC#66W 2411+7.0100%18.9Q3
2@ BaylorBig 12#110W 2013+14.0100%2.1Q4
3vs Weber StateBig SkyW 317+26.4100%11.9Q4
4vs UCLAPac-12#34W 147+0.4100%14.5Q2
5@ Oregon StatePac-12#20L 721-10.30%0.6Q1
7vs CaliforniaPac-12#53W 3414+6.9100%21.3Q3
8@ USCPac-12#22W 3432-7.7100%16.0Q1
9vs OregonPac-12#6L 635-18.50%-5.4Q1
10vs Arizona StatePac-12#100W 553+18.1100%27.6Q4
11@ WashingtonPac-12#1L 2835-16.10%14.4Q1
12@ ArizonaPac-12#15L 1842-12.90%-9.8Q1
13vs ColoradoPac-12#80W 2317+12.0100%3.8Q4
Postseason
vs NorthwesternBig Ten#47L 714+9.20%-7.7Q3

13 played · 8-5. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Utah, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-6.8+8.9+24.6192121412116-52814-104Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 84th
SR 67thYPP 81stEPA 94th
RushingEff 81st
SR 74thYPP 84thEPA 82nd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 13th
SR 4thYPP 16thEPA 15th
Rush defenseEff 23rd
SR 21stYPP 28thEPA 26th
Dropback rate 40%Tempo +1.6 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 50th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 43%1st · Defense allowed: 37%1st2nd · Offense: 38%2nd · Defense allowed: 38%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 42%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 32%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 59.0Q1 · Allowed: 72.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 91.0Q2 · Allowed: 62.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 61.0Q3 · Allowed: 44.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 75.0Q4 · Allowed: 59.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledUtahOffenseDefense
Utah Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 73rd
-1.0
Field position: +0.3Finishing drives: -1.3
Field position +0.3Finishing drives -1.3= -1.0
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 52nd · Finishing 75th

Defensive EffRanked 15th
+8.8
Field position: +0.5Finishing drives: +8.4
Field position +0.5Finishing drives +8.4= +8.8
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 48th · Finishing 14th

1.90 points per drive on offense, 1.54 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(185)38% / 62%41%5.3
Q2(256)43% / 57%45%5.9
Q3(195)41% / 59%38%4.6
Q4(237)36% / 64%41%4.9
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(145)10.048%6.4
2nd(95)8.432%5.6
3rd(91)8.234%4.7
4th(16)6.838%5.2
All (347)39%5.7
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(213)10.140%5.0
2nd(196)7.141%5.2
3rd(104)5.450%4.5
4th(13)2.146%2.7
All (526)43%4.9

Utah, all games.

Utah Football 2023 — Efficiency & Rankings · FanBoardHQ