FanBoardHQ

Texas A&M

Texas A&M University · 2023 · SEC

FanBoardHQ CFP
#38
Efficiency
+14.3
18th FBS
Record
7-6
Conf. record
4-4
Conf. finish
T-6th
of 14
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Texas A&M went 7-6 and was ranked 38th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 23rd-ranked defense carried them, with a 24th-ranked offense. They passed the ball on 53% of offensive plays with a 39th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 47% of plays with a 66th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-4
Q2
0-2
Q3
3-0
Q4
4-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 7.0 wins
Strength of Record
50th
-1.4 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
48th
full season
48th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
15th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.4 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs New MexicoMountain West#115W 5210+31.4100%25.4Q4
2@ Miami-FLACC#48L 3348+4.10%-4.6Q2
3vs ULMSun Belt#130W 473+35.6100%20.9Q4
4vs AuburnSEC#59W 2710+11.4100%20.9Q3
5vs ArkansasSEC#85W 3422+14.4100%14.4Q3
6vs AlabamaSEC#4L 2026-4.80%14.2Q1
7@ TennesseeSEC#19L 1320-2.20%8.3Q1
9vs South CarolinaSEC#68W 3017+12.1100%14.9Q3
10@ Ole MissSEC#10L 3538-3.80%9.8Q1
11vs Mississippi StateSEC#76W 5110+21.3100%30.2Q4
12vs Abilene ChristianUACW 3810+35.5100%0.7Q4
13@ LSUSEC#16L 3042-5.10%21.2Q1
Postseason
vs Oklahoma StateBig 12#17L 2331+7.00%-0.6Q2

13 played · 7-6. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Texas A&M, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-1.8+12.8+27.425-5212114148151030121Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 39th
SR 43rdYPP 29thEPA 44th
RushingEff 66th
SR 46thYPP 87thEPA 64th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 37th
SR 27thYPP 34thEPA 46th
Rush defenseEff 7th
SR 5thYPP 15thEPA 6th
Dropback rate 53%Tempo +3.3 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 60th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 42%1st · Defense allowed: 38%1st2nd · Offense: 44%2nd · Defense allowed: 36%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 46%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 35%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 77.0Q1 · Allowed: 44.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 154.0Q2 · Allowed: 68.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 92.0Q3 · Allowed: 43.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 84.0Q4 · Allowed: 47.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledTexas A&MOffenseDefense
Texas A&M Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 24th
+6.6
Field position: +6.8Finishing drives: -0.2
Field position +6.8Finishing drives -0.2= +6.6
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 1st · Finishing 67th

Defensive EffRanked 23rd
+7.0
Field position: -1.0Finishing drives: +8.0
Field position -1.0Finishing drives +8.0= +7.0
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 97th · Finishing 16th

2.65 points per drive on offense, 1.39 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 33.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(200)48% / 53%44%5.7
Q2(232)56% / 44%43%6.6
Q3(207)47% / 53%53%6.8
Q4(237)54% / 46%36%5.3
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(177)10.346%7.8
2nd(140)9.341%6.5
3rd(127)8.140%8.2
4th(8)5.825%4.1
All (452)43%7.4
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(216)9.738%4.5
2nd(150)6.647%5.1
3rd(46)4.054%5.0
4th(12)1.283%2.3
All (424)44%4.7

Texas A&M, all games.