FanBoardHQ

Clemson

Clemson University · 2023 · ACC

FanBoardHQ CFP
#24
Efficiency
+11.4
23rd FBS
Record
9-4
Conf. record
4-4
Conf. finish
T-6th
of 14
Clemson Fanboard →

Clemson went 9-4 and was ranked 24th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 11th-ranked defense carried them, with a 56th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 50% of offensive plays with a 47th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 50% of plays with a 63rd-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
1-2
Q2
3-2
Q3
2-0
Q4
3-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 9.0 wins
Strength of Record
23rd
+0.6 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
47th
full season
47th
CFP committee
#22
FanBoardHQ has them 2 spots lower
Conf. sched. difficulty
37th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.0 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ DukeACC#32L 728-2.60%-6.0Q1
2vs Charleston SouthernBig South-OVCW 6617+47.7100%-1.7Q4
3vs Florida AtlanticAmerican Athletic#111W 4814+23.9100%25.8Q4
4vs Florida StateACC#9L 2431-1.20%10.8Q1
5@ SyracuseACC#81W 3114+13.6100%13.2Q3
6vs Wake ForestACC#96W 1712+18.8100%-1.6Q4
8@ Miami-FLACC#48L 2028+1.20%10.0Q2
9@ NC StateACC#26L 1724-0.70%5.0Q2
10vs Notre DameFBS Independents#13W 3123-7.8100%25.6Q1
11vs Georgia TechACC#51W 4221+12.0100%23.7Q3
12vs North CarolinaACC#40W 3120+6.3100%13.6Q2
13@ South CarolinaSEC#68W 167+3.7100%16.9Q2
Postseason
vs KentuckySEC#41W 3835+4.3100%9.3Q2

13 played · 9-4. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Clemson, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-3.5+9.9+23.2-6-2261113-210526241417Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 63rd
SR 29thYPP 82ndEPA 73rd
RushingEff 47th
SR 22ndYPP 56thEPA 53rd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 1st
SR 2ndYPP 3rdEPA 1st
Rush defenseEff 49th
SR 15thYPP 38thEPA 86th
Dropback rate 50%Tempo +8.5 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 56th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 48%1st · Defense allowed: 34%1st2nd · Offense: 45%2nd · Defense allowed: 33%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 43%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 35%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 61.0Q1 · Allowed: 65.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 125.0Q2 · Allowed: 36.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 82.0Q3 · Allowed: 41.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 85.0Q4 · Allowed: 104.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledClemsonOffenseDefense
Clemson Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 56th
+0.5
Field position: +1.9Finishing drives: -1.4
Field position +1.9Finishing drives -1.4= +0.5
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 14th · Finishing 76th

Defensive EffRanked 11th
+9.9
Field position: +0.0Finishing drives: +9.9
Field position +0.0Finishing drives +9.9= +9.9
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 66th · Finishing 5th

2.02 points per drive on offense, 1.44 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 34.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(234)54% / 46%42%4.9
Q2(266)55% / 45%47%5.8
Q3(236)53% / 47%50%6.8
Q4(229)41% / 59%42%5.3
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(203)10.148%6.6
2nd(154)7.942%5.3
3rd(125)7.438%5.6
4th(11)6.645%4.4
All (493)44%5.9
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(232)9.447%6.4
2nd(160)6.548%4.9
3rd(67)5.546%4.4
4th(13)4.069%3.6
All (472)48%5.5

Clemson, all games.