FanBoardHQ

Syracuse

Syracuse University · 2023 · ACC

FanBoardHQ CFP
#81
Efficiency
-4.9
87th FBS
Record
6-7
Conf. record
2-6
Conf. finish
T-11th
of 14
Syracuse Fanboard →

Syracuse went 6-7 and was ranked 81st in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 79th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 95th-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 60% of offensive plays with a 107th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 40% of plays with a 66th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
0-4
Q3
1-0
Q4
5-2

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 6.0 wins
Strength of Record
80th
-3.7 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
72nd
full season
72nd
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
46th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.2 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs ColgatePatriotW 650+24.8100%21.7Q4
2vs Western MichiganMid-American#117W 487+15.6100%23.5Q4
3@ PurdueBig Ten#92W 3520-5.2100%16.1Q3
4vs ArmyFBS Independents#83W 2916+5.5100%5.4Q4
5vs ClemsonACC#24L 1431-13.60%-6.7Q2
6@ North CarolinaACC#40L 740-15.60%-29.9Q2
7@ Florida StateACC#9L 341-23.00%-9.7Q1
9@ Virginia TechACC#58L 1038-13.50%-26.9Q2
10vs Boston CollegeACC#73L 1017+2.90%-13.6Q4
11vs PittsburghACC#103W 2813-1.6100%11.6Q4
12@ Georgia TechACC#51L 2231-9.80%-1.8Q2
13vs Wake ForestACC#96W 3531+2.4100%-2.7Q4
Postseason
vs South FloridaAmerican Athletic#82L 045+3.90%-51.4Q4

13 played · 6-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Syracuse, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-25.6-3.2+19.22223165-7-30-10-27-1412-2-3Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 66th
SR 71stYPP 52ndEPA 69th
RushingEff 107th
SR 109thYPP 122ndEPA 101st
Defense
Pass defenseEff 70th
SR 68thYPP 83rdEPA 66th
Rush defenseEff 58th
SR 97thYPP 36thEPA 50th
Dropback rate 40%Tempo -8.5 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 65th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 37%1st · Defense allowed: 42%1st2nd · Offense: 37%2nd · Defense allowed: 41%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 42%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 42%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 72.0Q1 · Allowed: 85.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 65.0Q2 · Allowed: 94.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 94.0Q3 · Allowed: 51.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 65.0Q4 · Allowed: 79.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledSyracuseOffenseDefense
Syracuse Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 79th
-1.7
Field position: -0.4Finishing drives: -1.3
Field position -0.4Finishing drives -1.3= -1.7
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 82nd · Finishing 73rd

Defensive EffRanked 95th
-3.0
Field position: -0.3Finishing drives: -2.7
Field position -0.3Finishing drives -2.7= -3.0
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 81st · Finishing 92nd

1.82 points per drive on offense, 1.92 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(206)41% / 59%41%5.3
Q2(215)53% / 47%36%5.1
Q3(223)42% / 58%43%6.4
Q4(193)28% / 72%34%5.0
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(124)10.044%6.6
2nd(114)9.138%5.6
3rd(104)8.233%7.4
4th(5)9.840%6.0
All (347)39%6.5
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(232)9.733%4.5
2nd(169)7.437%4.7
3rd(74)5.853%6.4
4th(15)1.960%4.3
All (490)38%4.8

Syracuse, all games.