FanBoardHQ

Georgia Tech

Georgia Institute of Technology · 2023 · ACC

FanBoardHQ CFP
#51
Efficiency
+2.2
57th FBS
Record
7-6
Conf. record
5-3
Conf. finish
T-4th
of 14
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Georgia Tech went 7-6 and was ranked 51st in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 42nd-ranked offense was the engine, backed by an 81st-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 56% of offensive plays with a 27th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 44% of plays with a 54th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-4
Q2
3-0
Q3
2-0
Q4
2-2

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 7.0 wins
Strength of Record
51st
-1.4 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
49th
full season
49th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
53rd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.4 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs LouisvilleACC#21L 3439-10.80%8.3Q1
2vs South Carolina StateMEACW 4813+40.4100%-6.3Q4
3@ Ole MissSEC#10L 2348-15.90%-2.9Q1
4@ Wake ForestACC#96W 3016+4.0100%10.2Q3
5vs Bowling GreenMid-American#75L 2738+9.50%-26.8Q4
6@ Miami-FLACC#48W 2320-8.0100%14.1Q2
8vs Boston CollegeACC#73L 2338+10.00%-22.7Q4
9vs North CarolinaACC#40W 4642-3.0100%8.5Q2
10@ VirginiaACC#101W 4517+3.4100%24.0Q3
11@ ClemsonACC#24L 2142-12.00%-10.1Q1
12vs SyracuseACC#81W 3122+9.8100%-1.0Q4
13vs GeorgiaSEC#5L 2331-20.60%11.9Q1
Postseason
vs UCFBig 12#56W 3017-5.4100%20.9Q2

13 played · 7-6. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Georgia Tech, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-22.7-1.4+20.08-6-310-2714-23824-10-112Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 54th
SR 81stYPP 34thEPA 54th
RushingEff 27th
SR 29thYPP 18thEPA 38th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 59th
SR 58thYPP 73rdEPA 59th
Rush defenseEff 113th
SR 108thYPP 119thEPA 108th
Dropback rate 44%Tempo +0.8 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 48th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 45%1st · Defense allowed: 48%1st2nd · Offense: 45%2nd · Defense allowed: 46%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 46%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 46%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 69.0Q1 · Allowed: 74.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 136.0Q2 · Allowed: 89.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 83.0Q3 · Allowed: 97.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 127.0Q4 · Allowed: 107.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledGeorgia TechOffenseDefense
Georgia Tech Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 42nd
+3.2
Field position: -0.7Finishing drives: +3.9
Field position -0.7Finishing drives +3.9= +3.2
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 90th · Finishing 37th

Defensive EffRanked 81st
-1.8
Field position: +0.0Finishing drives: -1.9
Field position +0.0Finishing drives -1.9= -1.8
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 64th · Finishing 82nd

2.62 points per drive on offense, 2.45 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 31.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(185)49% / 51%39%5.7
Q2(239)43% / 57%51%7.4
Q3(181)48% / 52%44%6.9
Q4(244)45% / 55%46%6.4
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(136)10.344%7.3
2nd(139)8.840%7.9
3rd(99)7.536%6.9
4th(16)5.163%7.6
All (390)42%7.4
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(255)9.846%6.0
2nd(134)6.649%6.2
3rd(64)5.558%6.0
4th(6)1.350%0.8
All (459)49%6.0

Georgia Tech, all games.