FanBoardHQ

Florida Atlantic

Florida Atlantic University · 2022 · Conference USA

FanBoardHQ CFP
#97
Efficiency
-5.9
86th FBS
Record
5-7
Conf. record
4-4
Conf. finish
T-4th
of 11
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Florida Atlantic went 5-7 and was ranked 97th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 74th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 101st-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 56% of offensive plays with a 91st-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 44% of plays with a 92nd-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-1
Q3
0-4
Q4
5-2

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 5.0 wins
Strength of Record
101st
-4.9 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
114th
full season
114th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
110th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.9 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
0vs CharlotteConference USA#123W 4313+17.9100%-3.7Q4
1@ OhioMid-American#62L 3841-4.60%-4.2Q3
2vs SE LouisianaSouthlandW 429+11.8100%14.9Q4
3vs UCFAmerican Athletic#44L 1440-8.60%-19.9Q3
4@ PurdueBig Ten#34L 2628-12.30%4.9Q2
5@ North TexasConference USA#80L 2845-5.00%-20.9Q3
7vs RiceConference USA#109W 1714+11.4100%-14.2Q4
8@ UTEPConference USA#107L 2124+4.40%-11.3Q4
9vs UABConference USA#74W 2417-3.0100%3.9Q4
11@ FIUConference USA#121W 527+18.2100%11.8Q4
12@ Middle TennesseeConference USA#77L 2149-0.70%-32.0Q4
13vs Western KentuckyConference USA#61L 3132-7.10%-0.9Q3

12 played · 5-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Florida Atlantic, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-28.2-8.5+11.1-4-415-205-21-14-11412-32-1Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 92nd
SR 93rdYPP 86thEPA 94th
RushingEff 91st
SR 99thYPP 92ndEPA 84th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 81st
SR 107thYPP 82ndEPA 62nd
Rush defenseEff 85th
SR 60thYPP 101stEPA 88th
Dropback rate 44%Tempo -2.3 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 96th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 41%1st · Defense allowed: 43%1st2nd · Offense: 44%2nd · Defense allowed: 48%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 46%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 44%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 86.0Q1 · Allowed: 59.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 93.0Q2 · Allowed: 92.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 69.0Q3 · Allowed: 90.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 87.0Q4 · Allowed: 79.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledFlorida AtlanticOffenseDefense
Florida Atlantic Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 74th
-1.8
Field position: +1.0Finishing drives: -2.8
Field position +1.0Finishing drives -2.8= -1.8
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 29th · Finishing 84th

Defensive EffRanked 101st
-4.9
Field position: +0.3Finishing drives: -5.2
Field position +0.3Finishing drives -5.2= -4.9
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 63rd · Finishing 104th

2.08 points per drive on offense, 2.12 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 36.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(232)38% / 62%49%6.4
Q2(237)45% / 55%41%5.7
Q3(195)45% / 55%42%6.2
Q4(186)52% / 48%40%5.3
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(139)9.947%7.0
2nd(114)8.841%6.4
3rd(115)7.638%6.5
4th(13)6.546%8.7
All (381)43%6.7
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(230)9.737%4.8
2nd(165)7.146%5.8
3rd(65)4.055%5.9
4th(9)1.678%2.7
All (469)44%5.3

Florida Atlantic, all games.