FanBoardHQ

Charlotte

University of North Carolina at Charlotte · 2022 · Conference USA

FanBoardHQ CFP
#123
Efficiency
-21.0
127th FBS
Record
3-9
Conf. record
2-6
Conf. finish
T-9th
of 11
Charlotte Fanboard →

Charlotte went 3-9 and was ranked 123rd in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 75th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 131st-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 60% of offensive plays with a 71st-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 40% of plays with a 92nd-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-2
Q3
1-3
Q4
2-4

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 3.0 wins
Strength of Record
122nd
-6.7 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
98th
full season
98th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
104th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.8 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
0@ Florida AtlanticConference USA#97L 1343-17.90%-23.2Q3
1vs William & MaryCAAL 2441-12.90%-24.8Q4
2vs MarylandBig Ten#32L 2156-25.20%-29.8Q2
3@ Georgia StateSun Belt#105W 4241-17.6100%-0.8Q3
4@ South CarolinaSEC#29L 2056-29.10%-25.5Q2
5vs UTEPConference USA#107L 3541-5.20%-24.5Q4
7@ UABConference USA#74L 2034-23.60%-12.2Q3
8vs FIUConference USA#121L 1534+8.50%-63.6Q4
9@ RiceConference USA#109W 5623-9.3100%19.1Q4
10vs Western KentuckyConference USA#61L 759-22.20%-38.8Q3
11@ Middle TennesseeConference USA#77L 1424-15.80%-16.1Q4
12vs Louisiana TechConference USA#119W 2621-3.0100%-12.4Q4

12 played · 3-9. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Charlotte, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-57.0-22.2+12.5-23-25-30-1-25-25-12-6419-39-16-12Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 71st
SR 46thYPP 75thEPA 85th
RushingEff 92nd
SR 80thYPP 99thEPA 94th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 137th
SR 137thYPP 137thEPA 136th
Rush defenseEff 136th
SR 132ndYPP 129thEPA 135th
Dropback rate 60%Tempo -8.8 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 77th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 51%1st · Defense allowed: 49%1st2nd · Offense: 40%2nd · Defense allowed: 49%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 38%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 49%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 59.0Q1 · Allowed: 121.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 83.0Q2 · Allowed: 106.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 70.0Q3 · Allowed: 86.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 77.0Q4 · Allowed: 121.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledCharlotteOffenseDefense
Charlotte Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 75th
-2.0
Field position: -1.0Finishing drives: -1.0
Field position -1.0Finishing drives -1.0= -2.0
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 105th · Finishing 70th

Defensive EffRanked 131st
-18.0
Field position: -1.8Finishing drives: -16.2
Field position -1.8Finishing drives -16.2= -18.0
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 115th · Finishing 131st

2.06 points per drive on offense, 3.08 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(209)58% / 42%43%5.2
Q2(186)59% / 41%47%6.1
Q3(197)57% / 43%50%7.0
Q4(217)59% / 41%38%5.0
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(196)10.154%7.6
2nd(146)8.540%5.6
3rd(105)8.037%6.1
4th(25)6.420%4.3
All (472)44%6.5
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(171)9.848%4.8
2nd(100)8.340%4.5
3rd(53)7.243%6.5
4th(13)1.954%2.5
All (337)45%4.9

Charlotte, all games.