FanBoardHQ

Indiana

Indiana University Bloomington · 2025 · Big Ten

FanBoardHQ CFP
#1
Efficiency
+31.6
1st FBS
Record
16-0
Conf. record
9-0
Conf. finish
1st
of 18
Indiana Fanboard →

Indiana went 16-0 and was ranked 1st in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 3rd-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 5th-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 55% of offensive plays with a 23rd-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 45% of plays with a 5th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
7-0
Q2
2-0
Q3
2-0
Q4
5-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

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Expected: 16.0 wins
Strength of Record
1st
+7.0 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
9th
full season
9th
Conf. sched. difficulty
65th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.8 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Old DominionSun Belt#37W 2714+26.0100%18.4Q2
2vs Kennesaw StateConference USA#61W 569+41.0100%23.4Q4
3vs Indiana StateMVFCW 730+60.0100%22.3Q4
4vs IllinoisBig Ten#18W 6310+22.2100%41.2Q2
5@ IowaBig Ten#16W 2015+12.3100%23.5Q1
7@ OregonBig Ten#2W 3020+3.2100%36.7Q1
8vs Michigan StateBig Ten#86W 3813+34.5100%28.3Q4
9vs UCLABig Ten#97W 566+38.7100%32.5Q4
10@ MarylandBig Ten#94W 5510+29.6100%35.8Q3
11@ Penn StateBig Ten#39W 2724+13.6100%21.1Q1
12vs WisconsinBig Ten#74W 317+33.3100%23.8Q4
14@ PurdueBig Ten#111W 563+31.5100%36.6Q3
15vs Ohio StateBig Ten#4W 1310+2.9100%32.9Q1
Postseason
vs AlabamaSEC#10W 383+14.6100%40.7Q1
vs OregonBig Ten#2W 5622+6.0100%44.8Q1
vs Miami-FLACC#3W 2721+6.9100%26.0Q1

16 played · 16-0. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Indiana, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

+3.3+20.6+37.918232241233728323621243733Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 5th
SR 2ndYPP 11thEPA 5th
RushingEff 23rd
SR 22ndYPP 24thEPA 21st
Defense
Pass defenseEff 11th
SR 13thYPP 10thEPA 9th
Rush defenseEff 5th
SR 7thYPP 10thEPA 3rd
Dropback rate 45%Tempo -4.2 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 41st on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 50%1st · Defense allowed: 37%1st2nd · Offense: 53%2nd · Defense allowed: 34%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 58%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 35%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 114.0Q1 · Allowed: 47.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 198.0Q2 · Allowed: 46.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 174.0Q3 · Allowed: 36.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 138.0Q4 · Allowed: 48.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledIndianaOffenseDefense
Indiana Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 3rd
+17.0
Field position: +5.1Finishing drives: +11.9
Field position +5.1Finishing drives +11.9= +17.0
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 1st · Finishing 9th

Defensive EffRanked 5th
+13.5
Field position: +3.0Finishing drives: +10.5
Field position +3.0Finishing drives +10.5= +13.5
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 3rd · Finishing 5th

3.47 points per drive on offense, 1.01 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 32.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(249)48% / 52%53%6.2
Q2(272)47% / 53%55%7.2
Q3(255)35% / 65%58%8.1
Q4(280)32% / 68%45%6.4
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(175)10.158%8.6
2nd(137)7.761%9.1
3rd(108)6.453%8.9
4th(8)3.850%5.4
All (428)58%8.7
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(315)9.945%5.8
2nd(217)6.647%5.7
3rd(87)4.366%6.0
4th(9)3.767%4.3
All (628)49%5.8

Indiana, all games.