Wisconsin
University of Wisconsin–Madison · 2025 · Big Ten
Wisconsin went 4-8 and was ranked 74th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 19th-ranked defense carried them, with an 115th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 56% of offensive plays with an 81st-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 44% of plays with an 118th-ranked passing attack.
Quadrant record
By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.
Projected wins
Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.
The resume
Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).
| Wk | Opponent | Conf | Opp rank | Result | Exp. margin | Win prob | GameScore | Quad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Miami-OH | Mid-American | #88 | W 17–0 | +10.1 | 100% | 9.4 | Q4 |
| 2 | vs Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | #129 | W 42–10 | +23.9 | 100% | 12.1 | Q4 |
| 3 | @ Alabama | SEC | #10 | L 14–38 | -18.7 | 0% | -15.5 | Q1 |
| 4 | vs Maryland | Big Ten | #94 | L 10–27 | +4.5 | 0% | -22.3 | Q4 |
| 6 | @ Michigan | Big Ten | #19 | L 10–24 | -15.0 | 0% | 1.2 | Q1 |
| 7 | vs Iowa | Big Ten | #16 | L 0–37 | -12.7 | 0% | -18.9 | Q1 |
| 8 | vs Ohio State | Big Ten | #4 | L 0–34 | -24.9 | 0% | -8.8 | Q1 |
| 9 | @ Oregon | Big Ten | #2 | L 7–21 | -27.3 | 0% | 12.2 | Q1 |
| 11 | vs Washington | Big Ten | #20 | W 13–10 | -14.2 | 100% | 18.6 | Q1 |
| 12 | @ Indiana | Big Ten | #1 | L 7–31 | -33.3 | 0% | 8.9 | Q1 |
| 13 | vs Illinois | Big Ten | #18 | W 27–10 | -8.4 | 100% | 26.3 | Q2 |
| 14 | @ Minnesota | Big Ten | #48 | L 7–17 | -1.0 | 0% | -10.4 | Q3 |
12 played · 4-8. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.
The season
The model’s read on Wisconsin, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.
Passing & rushing
Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.
Their offense vs. what their defense allows.
Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.
What kind of team is this?
Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.
Field position 19th · Finishing 125th
Field position 29th · Finishing 23rd
0.88 points per drive on offense, 1.82 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.
Play-calling & efficiency
What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.
| Quarter (att.) | Pass / rush | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1(180) | 39% / 61% | 37% | 4.4 |
| Q2(169) | 46% / 54% | 31% | 4.2 |
| Q3(152) | 43% / 57% | 41% | 6.2 |
| Q4(182) | 46% / 54% | 45% | 4.7 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(112) | 10.1 | 46% | 5.5 |
| 2nd(97) | 7.6 | 44% | 5.7 |
| 3rd(77) | 8.4 | 26% | 3.5 |
| 4th(12) | 4.0 | 58% | 7.8 |
| All (298) | — | 41% | 5.1 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(170) | 9.8 | 32% | 4.5 |
| 2nd(128) | 8.0 | 37% | 5.1 |
| 3rd(75) | 5.2 | 43% | 3.9 |
| 4th(12) | 3.1 | 75% | 5.1 |
| All (385) | — | 37% | 4.6 |
Wisconsin, all games.