FanBoardHQ

Washington

University of Washington · 2024 · Big Ten

FanBoardHQ CFP
#53
Efficiency
+4.9
52nd FBS
Record
6-7
Conf. record
4-5
Conf. finish
T-9th
of 18
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Washington went 6-7 and was ranked 53rd in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 39th-ranked defense carried them, with a 51st-ranked offense. They passed the ball on 56% of offensive plays with a 21st-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 44% of plays with a 30th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
1-5
Q2
1-1
Q3
0-1
Q4
4-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 6.0 wins
Strength of Record
57th
-1.8 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
16th
full season
16th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
22nd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.6 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Weber StateBig SkyW 353+30.2100%7.1Q4
2vs Eastern MichiganMid-American#108W 309+20.5100%10.7Q4
3vs Washington StatePac-12#61L 1924+3.70%-3.9Q3
4vs NorthwesternBig Ten#94W 245+11.7100%11.6Q4
5@ RutgersBig Ten#49L 1821-3.30%4.5Q2
6vs MichiganBig Ten#23W 2717-3.5100%18.2Q2
7@ IowaBig Ten#36L 1640-11.00%-11.1Q1
9@ IndianaBig Ten#9L 1731-16.60%11.2Q1
10vs USCBig Ten#34W 2621-6.6100%17.1Q1
11@ Penn StateBig Ten#6L 635-20.40%-24.7Q1
12vs UCLABig Ten#58W 3119+6.1100%14.2Q4
14@ OregonBig Ten#3L 2149-19.70%-4.9Q1
Postseason
vs LouisvilleACC#21L 3435-11.40%13.3Q1

13 played · 6-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Washington, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-21.3-3.3+14.7711-412518-111117-2514-5Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 21st
SR 16thYPP 21stEPA 23rd
RushingEff 30th
SR 27thYPP 20thEPA 40th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 9th
SR 15thYPP 8thEPA 8th
Rush defenseEff 84th
SR 99thYPP 60thEPA 87th
Dropback rate 56%Tempo +0.6 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 53rd on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 46%1st · Defense allowed: 44%1st2nd · Offense: 52%2nd · Defense allowed: 39%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 41%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 46%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 51.0Q1 · Allowed: 41.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 116.0Q2 · Allowed: 123.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 50.0Q3 · Allowed: 68.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 89.0Q4 · Allowed: 62.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledWashingtonOffenseDefense
Washington Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 51st
+2.2
Field position: -1.0Finishing drives: +3.1
Field position -1.0Finishing drives +3.1= +2.2
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 96th · Finishing 42nd

Defensive EffRanked 39th
+4.3
Field position: -0.5Finishing drives: +4.8
Field position -0.5Finishing drives +4.8= +4.3
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 92nd · Finishing 35th

2.16 points per drive on offense, 2.12 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 28.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(208)53% / 47%43%6.0
Q2(205)59% / 41%50%7.6
Q3(204)52% / 48%49%6.3
Q4(204)53% / 47%48%5.9
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(182)10.052%8.3
2nd(142)8.853%7.8
3rd(108)7.932%5.4
4th(14)4.836%6.1
All (446)47%7.4
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(193)9.641%5.4
2nd(125)6.652%5.5
3rd(44)4.061%5.3
4th(13)1.554%2.9
All (375)47%5.3

Washington, all games.