FanBoardHQ

Nebraska

University of Nebraska–Lincoln · 2024 · Big Ten

FanBoardHQ CFP
#43
Efficiency
+9.7
37th FBS
Record
7-6
Conf. record
3-6
Conf. finish
T-12th
of 18
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Nebraska went 7-6 and was ranked 43rd in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 15th-ranked defense carried them, with a 55th-ranked offense. They passed the ball on 52% of offensive plays with a 65th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 48% of plays with a 39th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-4
Q2
2-1
Q3
2-0
Q4
3-1

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 7.0 wins
Strength of Record
48th
-1.3 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
34th
full season
34th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
36th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.1 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs UTEPConference USA#126W 407+34.6100%8.5Q4
2vs ColoradoBig 12#26W 2810+0.1100%31.3Q2
3vs Northern IowaMVFCW 343+43.5100%1.9Q4
4vs IllinoisBig Ten#18L 2431+4.30%2.9Q2
5@ PurdueBig Ten#129W 2810+20.1100%13.1Q4
6vs RutgersBig Ten#49W 147+7.0100%11.7Q3
8@ IndianaBig Ten#9L 756-11.80%-21.2Q1
9@ Ohio StateBig Ten#1L 1721-23.10%27.7Q1
10vs UCLABig Ten#58L 2027+10.90%-9.7Q4
12@ USCBig Ten#34L 2028-7.30%6.4Q1
13vs WisconsinBig Ten#60W 4425+7.2100%21.8Q3
14@ IowaBig Ten#36L 1013-6.20%13.5Q1
Postseason
vs Boston CollegeACC#50W 2015+2.8100%15.0Q2

13 played · 7-6. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Nebraska, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-17.0+5.0+27.1831231312-2128-1062213Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 65th
SR 58thYPP 60thEPA 69th
RushingEff 39th
SR 29thYPP 71stEPA 30th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 70th
SR 53rdYPP 76thEPA 71st
Rush defenseEff 27th
SR 25thYPP 44thEPA 24th
Dropback rate 52%Tempo +1.6 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 63rd on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 46%1st · Defense allowed: 42%1st2nd · Offense: 43%2nd · Defense allowed: 44%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 46%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 39%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 48.0Q1 · Allowed: 48.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 128.0Q2 · Allowed: 51.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 53.0Q3 · Allowed: 51.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 62.0Q4 · Allowed: 94.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledNebraskaOffenseDefense
Nebraska Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 55th
+1.5
Field position: -0.8Finishing drives: +2.3
Field position -0.8Finishing drives +2.3= +1.5
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 89th · Finishing 51st

Defensive EffRanked 15th
+8.9
Field position: +0.0Finishing drives: +8.9
Field position +0.0Finishing drives +8.9= +8.9
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 67th · Finishing 9th

2.03 points per drive on offense, 1.73 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 29.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(208)54% / 46%44%5.7
Q2(216)54% / 46%50%6.5
Q3(213)52% / 48%44%5.9
Q4(212)46% / 54%42%4.4
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(171)10.053%7.8
2nd(149)8.740%6.6
3rd(104)7.730%4.3
4th(14)6.143%5.0
All (438)43%6.4
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(211)9.541%4.5
2nd(125)6.446%5.3
3rd(67)3.670%4.9
4th(8)3.550%1.8
All (411)47%4.7

Nebraska, all games.