FanBoardHQ

Army

United States Military Academy · 2024 · American Athletic

FanBoardHQ CFP
#28
Efficiency
+11.9
31st FBS
Record
12-2
Conf. record
9-1
Conf. finish
1st
of 14
Army Fanboard →

Army went 12-2 and was ranked 28th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 12th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 76th-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 86% of offensive plays with a 16th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 14% of plays with a 103rd-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
1-1
Q3
1-0
Q4
10-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
Expected: 12.0 wins
Strength of Record
29th
+0.2 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
107th
full season
107th
CFP committee
#22
FanBoardHQ has them 6 spots lower
Conf. sched. difficulty
133rd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~8.7 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs LehighPatriotW 427+33.0100%21.7Q4
2@ Florida AtlanticAmerican Athletic#124W 247+26.2100%5.4Q4
4vs RiceAmerican Athletic#109W 3714+24.1100%10.8Q4
5@ TempleAmerican Athletic#123W 4214+28.7100%22.1Q4
6@ TulsaAmerican Athletic#131W 497+40.6100%12.3Q4
7vs UABAmerican Athletic#121W 4410+29.7100%23.1Q4
8vs East CarolinaAmerican Athletic#78W 4528+22.9100%20.5Q4
10vs Air ForceMountain West#103W 203+27.0100%4.5Q4
11@ North TexasAmerican Athletic#92W 143+15.4100%11.7Q3
13vs Notre DameFBS Independents#2L 1449-13.60%-12.5Q1
14vs UTSAAmerican Athletic#81W 2924+19.5100%-1.9Q4
15vs TulaneAmerican Athletic#42W 3514+3.9100%32.0Q2
16vs NavyAmerican Athletic#35L 1331+4.30%-12.0Q2
Postseason
vs Louisiana TechConference USA#111W 276+25.7100%19.8Q4

14 played · 12-2. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Army, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-8.9+9.7+28.42251122122321512-13-232-12Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 103rd
SR 125thYPP 113thEPA 79th
RushingEff 16th
SR 21stYPP 19thEPA 16th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 123rd
SR 130thYPP 120thEPA 117th
Rush defenseEff 63rd
SR 116thYPP 51stEPA 38th
Dropback rate 14%Tempo -7.0 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 80th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 48%1st · Defense allowed: 45%1st2nd · Offense: 52%2nd · Defense allowed: 44%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 55%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 43%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 101.0Q1 · Allowed: 62.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 96.0Q2 · Allowed: 65.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 93.0Q3 · Allowed: 66.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 104.0Q4 · Allowed: 80.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledArmyOffenseDefense
Army Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 12th
+9.9
Field position: -0.3Finishing drives: +10.3
Field position -0.3Finishing drives +10.3= +9.9
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 72nd · Finishing 10th

Defensive EffRanked 76th
-1.0
Field position: +0.3Finishing drives: -1.2
Field position +0.3Finishing drives -1.2= -1.0
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 55th · Finishing 78th

3.03 points per drive on offense, 1.78 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(185)11% / 89%54%7.1
Q2(229)23% / 77%46%5.5
Q3(211)9% / 91%55%6.7
Q4(201)13% / 87%49%5.2
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(40)10.148%11.0
2nd(41)7.934%6.6
3rd(32)9.041%7.5
4th(5)5.260%6.6
All (118)42%8.4
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(321)9.748%5.8
2nd(232)6.455%6.3
3rd(123)4.851%4.7
4th(32)2.481%4.9
All (708)52%5.7

Army, all games.