FanBoardHQ

Rutgers

Rutgers University–New Brunswick · 2023 · Big Ten

FanBoardHQ CFP
#46
Efficiency
+2.8
53rd FBS
Record
7-6
Conf. record
3-6
Conf. finish
T-8th
of 14
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Rutgers went 7-6 and was ranked 46th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 47th-ranked defense carried them, with a 57th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 61% of offensive plays with a 72nd-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 39% of plays with a 90th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-3
Q2
1-3
Q3
2-0
Q4
4-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 7.0 wins
Strength of Record
46th
-1.2 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
36th
full season
36th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
34th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.9 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs NorthwesternBig Ten#47W 247+6.5100%22.9Q4
2vs TempleAmerican Athletic#129W 367+26.8100%-0.1Q4
3vs Virginia TechACC#58W 3516-0.2100%19.8Q3
4@ MichiganBig Ten#2L 731-29.20%-1.0Q1
5vs WagnerNECW 523+48.8100%-3.7Q4
6@ WisconsinBig Ten#60L 1324-2.60%-9.0Q2
7vs Michigan StateBig Ten#90W 2724+12.3100%-5.6Q4
8@ IndianaBig Ten#104W 3114+5.2100%15.5Q3
10vs Ohio StateBig Ten#7L 1635-19.70%2.6Q1
11@ IowaBig Ten#30L 022-3.30%-17.0Q2
12@ Penn StateBig Ten#12L 627-22.30%2.4Q1
13vs MarylandBig Ten#35L 2442-3.90%-10.2Q2
Postseason
vs Miami-FLACC#48W 3124-4.6100%20.0Q2

13 played · 7-6. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Rutgers, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-13.8+3.0+19.723-020-1-4-9-6153-172-10Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 90th
SR 85thYPP 62ndEPA 101st
RushingEff 72nd
SR 64thYPP 83rdEPA 72nd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 30th
SR 41stYPP 24thEPA 28th
Rush defenseEff 66th
SR 103rdYPP 35thEPA 63rd
Dropback rate 39%Tempo -2.1 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 51st on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 38%1st · Defense allowed: 48%1st2nd · Offense: 44%2nd · Defense allowed: 45%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 42%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 41%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 61.0Q1 · Allowed: 52.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 83.0Q2 · Allowed: 67.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 35.0Q3 · Allowed: 44.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 104.0Q4 · Allowed: 94.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledRutgersOffenseDefense
Rutgers Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 57th
+0.5
Field position: +1.8Finishing drives: -1.3
Field position +1.8Finishing drives -1.3= +0.5
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 17th · Finishing 72nd

Defensive EffRanked 47th
+2.1
Field position: -1.0Finishing drives: +3.1
Field position -1.0Finishing drives +3.1= +2.1
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 99th · Finishing 41st

1.92 points per drive on offense, 1.83 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 31.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(198)36% / 64%46%5.6
Q2(214)40% / 60%36%4.9
Q3(187)43% / 57%35%3.6
Q4(203)33% / 67%46%5.9
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(119)10.037%5.3
2nd(100)9.443%6.7
3rd(75)7.927%5.1
4th(11)4.155%3.5
All (305)37%5.7
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(222)9.538%4.1
2nd(169)6.645%5.0
3rd(92)5.347%5.1
4th(14)2.179%6.3
All (497)43%4.7

Rutgers, all games.