FanBoardHQ

Maryland

University of Maryland · 2023 · Big Ten

FanBoardHQ CFP
#35
Efficiency
+9.4
30th FBS
Record
8-5
Conf. record
4-5
Conf. finish
7th
of 14
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Maryland went 8-5 and was ranked 35th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 22nd-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 37th-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 60% of offensive plays with a 23rd-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 40% of plays with a 53rd-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-3
Q2
2-0
Q3
1-1
Q4
5-1

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 8.0 wins
Strength of Record
39th
-0.7 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
57th
full season
57th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
48th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.2 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs TowsonCoastal AthleticW 386+37.8100%7.0Q4
2vs CharlotteAmerican Athletic#125W 3820+30.6100%-1.9Q4
3vs VirginiaACC#101W 4214+16.2100%16.5Q4
4@ Michigan StateBig Ten#90W 319+13.4100%18.1Q4
5vs IndianaBig Ten#104W 4417+17.4100%23.2Q4
6@ Ohio StateBig Ten#7L 1737-18.60%8.2Q1
7vs IllinoisBig Ten#78L 2427+15.20%-7.6Q4
9@ NorthwesternBig Ten#47L 2733+7.60%-5.1Q3
10vs Penn StateBig Ten#12L 1551-10.20%-15.1Q1
11@ NebraskaBig Ten#79W 1310+6.9100%5.6Q3
12vs MichiganBig Ten#2L 2431-17.10%18.6Q1
13@ RutgersBig Ten#46W 4224+3.9100%22.5Q2
Postseason
vs AuburnSEC#59W 3113+3.8100%29.3Q2

13 played · 8-5. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Maryland, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-12.0+4.1+20.27-21618238-8-5-1561922Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 23rd
SR 23rdYPP 22ndEPA 25th
RushingEff 53rd
SR 54thYPP 73rdEPA 36th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 18th
SR 28thYPP 21stEPA 18th
Rush defenseEff 62nd
SR 83rdYPP 33rdEPA 65th
Dropback rate 60%Tempo -2.4 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 52nd on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 42%1st · Defense allowed: 40%1st2nd · Offense: 44%2nd · Defense allowed: 44%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 48%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 40%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 122.0Q1 · Allowed: 69.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 88.0Q2 · Allowed: 61.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 69.0Q3 · Allowed: 53.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 92.0Q4 · Allowed: 88.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledMarylandOffenseDefense
Maryland Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 22nd
+6.7
Field position: +1.1Finishing drives: +5.6
Field position +1.1Finishing drives +5.6= +6.7
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 27th · Finishing 26th

Defensive EffRanked 37th
+3.4
Field position: +0.3Finishing drives: +3.1
Field position +0.3Finishing drives +3.1= +3.4
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 52nd · Finishing 42nd

2.46 points per drive on offense, 1.79 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 32.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(207)62% / 38%48%6.8
Q2(216)69% / 31%44%6.8
Q3(214)53% / 47%42%5.8
Q4(196)48% / 52%41%4.8
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(215)10.149%8.4
2nd(159)8.943%6.3
3rd(105)8.838%5.0
4th(8)3.463%8.1
All (487)45%7.0
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(165)9.432%4.2
2nd(109)6.647%5.7
3rd(62)4.355%4.7
4th(10)2.290%3.4
All (346)42%4.8

Maryland, all games.