Big Ten

2023 · through CFP Finals

ConferenceSeasonThrough

Big Ten was the 4th-ranked FBS conference in 2023 by average FanBoardHQ CFP rankings, with 3 teams in the top 25. Michigan led the conference, ranked 2nd in the FanBoardHQ CFP.

Projected Standings

Every member ordered by projected conference win total — per-game win probabilities combined across each team’s conference schedule. Click any column to re-sort.

Team	Efficiency rank	SOR rank	Conf. sched. rank	Overall record	Conf. record	Proj. conf. wins
Michigan	2	2	12	15-0	10-0	10.0
Ohio State	4	8	6	11-2	8-1	8.0
Iowa	52	26	14	10-4	7-3	7.0
Penn State	7	16	5	10-3	7-2	7.0
Northwestern	66	41	9	8-5	5-4	5.0
Wisconsin	55	61	13	7-6	5-4	5.0
Maryland	30	39	4	8-5	4-5	4.0
Illinois	75	83	11	5-7	3-6	3.0
Minnesota	72	75	8	6-7	3-6	3.0
Nebraska	64	89	10	5-7	3-6	3.0
Purdue	71	100	7	4-8	3-6	3.0
Rutgers	53	46	2	7-6	3-6	3.0
Michigan State	91	91	1	4-8	2-7	2.0
Indiana	89	112	3	3-9	1-8	1.0

Head-to-head Schedule Comparison

Read a column top to bottom for that team’s full conference schedule — opponents (the rows) are ordered by projected conference wins, so you can see whether a team drew more of the top or the bottom of the league. Cell shade = margin; click a result for the game breakdown, a “Wk N” cell for the matchup projection.

	Michigan	Ohio State	Iowa	Penn State	Northwestern	Wisconsin	Maryland	Illinois	Minnesota	Nebraska	Purdue	Rutgers	Michigan State	Indiana
Michigan		L 24-30	L 0-26	L 15-24	·	·	L 24-31	·	L 10-52	L 7-45	L 13-41	L 7-31	L 0-49	L 7-52
Ohio State	W 30-24		·	L 12-20	·	L 10-24	L 17-37	·	L 3-37	·	L 7-41	L 16-35	L 3-38	L 3-23
Iowa	W 26-0	·		W 31-0	L 7-10	L 6-15	·	L 13-15	W 12-10	L 10-13	L 14-20	L 0-22	L 16-26	·
Penn State	W 24-15	W 20-12	L 0-31		L 13-41	·	L 15-51	L 13-30	·	·	·	L 6-27	L 0-42	L 24-33
Northwestern	·	·	W 10-7	W 41-13		L 10-24	L 27-33	L 43-45	L 34-37	W 17-9	L 15-23	W 24-7	·	·
Wisconsin	·	W 24-10	W 15-6	·	W 24-10		·	L 21-25	L 14-28	L 17-24	L 17-38	L 13-24	·	W 20-14
Maryland	W 31-24	W 37-17	·	W 51-15	W 33-27	·		W 27-24	·	L 10-13	·	L 24-42	L 9-31	L 17-44
Illinois	·	·	W 15-13	W 30-13	W 45-43	W 25-21	L 24-27		L 26-27	W 20-7	W 44-19	·	·	L 45-48
Minnesota	W 52-10	W 37-3	L 10-12	·	W 37-34	W 28-14	·	W 27-26		L 10-13	W 49-30	·	L 12-27	·
Nebraska	W 45-7	·	W 13-10	·	L 9-17	W 24-17	W 13-10	L 7-20	W 13-10		L 14-31	·	W 20-17	·
Purdue	W 41-13	W 41-7	W 20-14	·	W 23-15	W 38-17	·	L 19-44	L 30-49	W 31-14		·	·	L 31-35
Rutgers	W 31-7	W 35-16	W 22-0	W 27-6	L 7-24	W 24-13	W 42-24	·	·	·	·		L 24-27	L 14-31
Michigan State	W 49-0	W 38-3	W 26-16	W 42-0	·	·	W 31-9	·	W 27-12	L 17-20	·	W 27-24		L 21-24
Indiana	W 52-7	W 23-3	·	W 33-24	·	L 14-20	W 44-17	W 48-45	·	·	W 35-31	W 31-14	W 24-21
Exp. wins for a #25 team	6.3	5.6	6.6	5.5	6.0	6.4	5.2	6.1	5.7	6.1	5.7	4.9	4.8	4.9
Conf. sched. difficulty rank	12th	6th	14th	5th	9th	13th	4th	11th	8th	10th	7th	2nd	1st	3rd
Projected conf. wins	10.0	8.0	7.0	7.0	5.0	5.0	4.0	3.0	3.0	3.0	3.0	3.0	2.0	1.0
Conference record	10-0	8-1	7-3	7-2	5-4	5-4	4-5	3-6	3-6	3-6	3-6	3-6	2-7	1-8

Conference win total projections

Probability of each final conference win total, from per-game win probabilities combined across the schedule. Darker green = more likely; each team’s single most likely total is in bold.

Team	0 wins	1 win	2 wins	3 wins	4 wins	5 wins	6 wins	7 wins	8 wins	9 wins	10 wins
Michigan	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
Ohio State	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	—
Iowa	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Penn State	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Northwestern	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Wisconsin	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Maryland	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Illinois	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Minnesota	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Nebraska	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Purdue	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Rutgers	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Michigan State	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Indiana	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—

Every model rank

Where each member sits in every FanBoardHQ model. Default order is projected conference wins; click any column to re-sort. Pass/Rush Eff blend EPA/play, success rate, and yards/play, standardized over the FBS field.

	Offensive Eff			Defensive Eff			Overall Efficiency
Team	Pass O Eff	Rush O Eff	Total Off Eff	Pass D Eff	Rush D Eff	Total Def Eff	Overall Eff
Michigan	10	54	4	5	5	3	2
Ohio State	6	27	15	4	16	2	4
Iowa	127	134	124	8	6	1	52
Penn State	36	59	17	9	8	5	7
Northwestern	67	106	76	60	52	59	66
Wisconsin	78	39	87	39	61	32	55
Maryland	23	55	22	18	64	37	30
Illinois	24	82	66	84	79	89	75
Minnesota	91	84	58	70	91	76	72
Nebraska	110	91	116	20	15	12	64
Purdue	70	32	67	53	49	82	71
Rutgers	90	73	57	29	67	47	53
Michigan State	88	123	92	67	70	70	91
Indiana	45	94	90	91	89	77	89

Compare teams

Pick up to three teams to compare their strengths across every model.

MichiganOhio State

Further from center = better (FBS percentile).

Quadrant records

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Overall
Michigan	5-0	0-0	5-0	5-0	15-0
Ohio State	2-2	3-0	2-0	4-0	11-2
Iowa	1-3	1-0	3-0	5-1	10-4
Penn State	1-3	1-0	4-0	4-0	10-3
Northwestern	0-2	3-1	1-2	4-0	8-5
Wisconsin	0-2	0-1	4-2	3-1	7-6
Maryland	0-3	2-0	1-1	5-1	8-5
Illinois	1-2	0-1	2-2	2-2	5-7
Minnesota	0-2	1-1	0-3	5-1	6-7
Nebraska	0-1	0-2	1-3	4-1	5-7
Purdue	0-2	1-1	0-3	3-2	4-8
Rutgers	0-3	1-3	2-0	4-0	7-6
Michigan State	0-4	0-3	1-1	3-0	4-8
Indiana	0-5	0-0	1-3	2-1	3-9

Weekly GameScore Efficiency Rating

Each team's single-game GameScore, week by week — points better (or worse) than an average team, opponent-adjusted. Green = strong, red = weak, centered at 0. Click a week header to rank that week’s performances, or a cell for that game.

Team	Week 1	Week 2	Week 3	Week 4	Week 5	Week 6	Week 7	Week 8	Week 9	Week 10	Week 11	Week 12	Week 13	Week 14
Michigan	23.2	30.3	19.6	29.5	34.3	22.7	29.5	33.8		20.3	34.6	20.1	30.4	26.8
Ohio State	19.0	19.6	33.3	28.2		26.5	32.1	27.5	19.5	25.5	27.5	29.3	24.1
Iowa	1.6	21.2	2.1	-4.4	-0.7	0.6	13.3	-7.2		2.2	23.2	-3.3	4.5	5.8
Penn State	28.5	30.3	18.1	30.1	26.5		24.7	20.2	-0.5	38.6	16.9	22.8	30.0
Northwestern	-20.9	9.1	-19.0	-3.4	-5.0	-25.6		-5.0	13.6	0.3	27.2	2.6	-4.4
Wisconsin	2.6	-1.5	8.2	21.2		14.5	-7.3	2.2	8.5	-8.3	-29.4	-1.0	13.7
Maryland	7.0	-1.9	16.5	18.1	23.2	8.2	-7.6		-5.1	-15.1	5.6	18.6	22.5
Illinois	2.1	1.2	1.3	-6.4	-28.8	-14.9	14.1	-2.5		-0.1	-6.1	3.7	0.5
Minnesota	0.3	-3.3	-7.8	-0.2	7.2	3.9		7.9	4.2	-5.6	-23.3	-6.7	-13.7
Nebraska	-3.2	-19.9	13.4	-3.1	-18.4	11.7		3.9	14.3	-7.3	3.6	3.5	-1.4
Purdue	-8.1	15.7	-23.5	-21.0	23.3	0.3	-16.5		-17.0	6.4	18.1	-5.9	-1.7
Rutgers	22.9	-0.1	19.8	-1.0	-3.7	-9.0	-5.6	15.5		2.6	-17.0	2.4	-10.2
Michigan State	6.2	8.8	-21.8	-15.3	-2.7		1.7	-16.3	-13.6	0.4	-14.2	0.5	-14.4
Indiana	1.1	-3.4	3.1	-24.0	-18.9		-5.4	-17.8	17.7	5.8	-2.0	-12.4	-5.9