FanBoardHQ

Indiana

Indiana University Bloomington · 2023 · Big Ten

FanBoardHQ CFP
#104
Efficiency
-5.2
89th FBS
Record
3-9
Conf. record
1-8
Conf. finish
14th
of 14
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Indiana went 3-9 and was ranked 104th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 77th-ranked defense carried them, with a 90th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 52% of offensive plays with a 90th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 48% of plays with a 45th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-5
Q2
0-0
Q3
1-3
Q4
2-1

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 3.0 wins
Strength of Record
112th
-4.4 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
24th
full season
24th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
35th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.9 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Ohio StateBig Ten#7L 323-27.70%1.1Q1
2vs Indiana StateMVFCW 417+28.4100%-3.4Q4
3vs LouisvilleACC#21L 1421-18.20%3.1Q1
4vs AkronMid-American#132W 2927+20.5100%-24.0Q4
5@ MarylandBig Ten#35L 1744-17.40%-18.9Q1
7@ MichiganBig Ten#2L 752-37.20%-5.4Q1
8vs RutgersBig Ten#46L 1431-5.20%-17.8Q3
9@ Penn StateBig Ten#12L 2433-30.30%17.7Q1
10vs WisconsinBig Ten#60W 2014-5.1100%5.8Q3
11@ IllinoisBig Ten#78L 4548-4.90%-2.0Q3
12vs Michigan StateBig Ten#90L 2124+4.30%-12.4Q4
13@ PurdueBig Ten#92L 3135-5.40%-5.9Q3

12 played · 3-9. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Indiana, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-20.7-3.1+14.41-33-24-19-5-18186-2-12-6Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 45th
SR 35thYPP 35thEPA 55th
RushingEff 90th
SR 94thYPP 88thEPA 90th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 93rd
SR 75thYPP 96thEPA 100th
Rush defenseEff 87th
SR 100thYPP 77thEPA 78th
Dropback rate 48%Tempo -1.7 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 45th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 46%1st · Defense allowed: 47%1st2nd · Offense: 39%2nd · Defense allowed: 50%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 39%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 40%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 66.0Q1 · Allowed: 66.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 65.0Q2 · Allowed: 106.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 35.0Q3 · Allowed: 78.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 74.0Q4 · Allowed: 94.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledIndianaOffenseDefense
Indiana Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 90th
-3.9
Field position: -1.2Finishing drives: -2.7
Field position -1.2Finishing drives -2.7= -3.9
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 105th · Finishing 85th

Defensive EffRanked 77th
-1.4
Field position: -0.3Finishing drives: -1.1
Field position -0.3Finishing drives -1.1= -1.4
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 79th · Finishing 77th

1.64 points per drive on offense, 2.26 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 27.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(199)50% / 50%42%6.2
Q2(200)50% / 50%41%5.7
Q3(165)48% / 52%43%4.8
Q4(213)50% / 50%42%5.4
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(156)10.151%8.3
2nd(107)8.149%6.5
3rd(103)8.031%4.1
4th(18)4.617%2.8
All (385)43%6.4
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(179)10.042%4.7
2nd(142)7.432%4.3
3rd(63)4.954%5.8
4th(8)1.475%1.8
All (392)41%4.7

Indiana, all games.