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Mid-American

2023 · through CFP Finals

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Mid-American was the 11th-ranked FBS conference in 2023 by average FanBoardHQ CFP rankings, with 0 teams in the top 25. Toledo led the conference, ranked 43rd in the FanBoardHQ CFP.

Projected Standings

Every member ordered by projected conference win total — per-game win probabilities combined across each team’s conference schedule. Click any column to re-sort.

TeamEfficiency rankSOR rankConf. sched. rankOverall recordConf. recordProj. conf. wins
Miami-OH70371111-38-18.0
Toledo60401211-38-18.0
Ohio7743810-36-26.0
Bowling Green837267-65-35.0
Northern Illinois9482107-65-35.0
Eastern Michigan1299596-74-44.0
Ball State11611034-83-53.0
Buffalo12212723-93-53.0
Central Michigan1179875-73-53.0
Western Michigan12311514-83-53.0
Akron13113242-101-71.0
Kent State13313351-110-80.0

Head-to-head Schedule Comparison

Read a column top to bottom for that team’s full conference schedule — opponents (the rows) are ordered by projected conference wins, so you can see whether a team drew more of the top or the bottom of the league. Cell shade = margin; click a result for the game breakdown, a “Wk N” cell for the matchup projection.

Miami-OHToledoOhioBowling GreenNorthern IllinoisEastern MichiganBall StateBuffaloCentral MichiganWestern MichiganAkronKent State
Miami-OHL 14-23L 16-30L 0-27··L 15-17L 10-23·L 21-34L 0-19L 3-23
ToledoW 23-14·L 31-32L 33-35L 23-49L 6-13L 13-31L 17-32L 31-49··
OhioW 30-16·L 7-38W 23-13··L 10-20L 20-34L 17-20L 14-25L 17-42
Bowling GreenW 27-0W 32-31W 38-7··L 21-24L 14-24·L 10-34L 14-41L 19-49
Northern Illinois·W 35-33L 13-23·L 13-20W 20-17·W 37-31L 0-24L 14-55L 27-37
Eastern Michigan·W 49-23··W 20-13L 10-24L 11-24W 26-23W 45-21L 27-30L 14-28
Ball StateW 17-15W 13-6·W 24-21L 17-20W 24-10·L 17-24W 42-24·L 3-34
BuffaloW 23-10W 31-13W 20-10W 24-14·W 24-11·L 13-37·L 10-13L 6-24
Central Michigan·W 32-17W 34-20·L 31-37L 23-26W 24-17W 37-13W 38-28L 10-17·
Western MichiganW 34-21W 49-31W 20-17W 34-10W 24-0L 21-45L 24-42·L 28-38··
AkronW 19-0·W 25-14W 41-14W 55-14W 30-27·W 13-10W 17-10·L 27-31
Kent StateW 23-3·W 42-17W 49-19W 37-27W 28-14W 34-3W 24-6··W 31-27
Exp. wins for a #25 team7.98.07.37.27.37.37.17.07.26.87.17.2
Conf. sched. difficulty rank11th12th8th6th10th9th3rd2nd7th1st4th5th
Projected conf. wins8.08.06.05.05.04.03.03.03.03.01.00.0
Conference record8-18-16-25-35-34-43-53-53-53-51-70-8

Conference win total projections

Probability of each final conference win total, from per-game win probabilities combined across the schedule. Darker green = more likely; each team’s single most likely total is in bold.

Team0 wins1 win2 wins3 wins4 wins5 wins6 wins7 wins8 wins9 wins
Miami-OH0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
Toledo0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
Ohio0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%—
Bowling Green0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Northern Illinois0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Eastern Michigan0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Ball State0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Buffalo0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Central Michigan0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Western Michigan0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Akron0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Kent State100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—

Every model rank

Where each member sits in every FanBoardHQ model. Default order is projected conference wins; click any column to re-sort. Pass/Rush Eff blend EPA/play, success rate, and yards/play, standardized over the FBS field.

Offensive EffDefensive EffOverall Efficiency
TeamPass O EffRush O EffTotal Off EffPass D EffRush D EffTotal Def EffOverall Eff
Miami-OH8312110957392670
Toledo37336122426260
Ohio5113010166193877
Bowling Green99517023999483
Northern Illinois10247103851016994
Eastern Michigan137132129124112103129
Ball State133781231014892116
Buffalo1221141228665114122
Central Michigan11972102115126124117
Western Michigan1138597128123127123
Akron135991318796119131
Kent State106138126136111133133

Compare teams

Pick up to three teams to compare their strengths across every model.

OverallOffenseDefensePass ORush OPass DRush DTempo
Miami-OHToledo

Further from center = better (FBS percentile).

Quadrant records

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Overall
Miami-OH0-00-13-28-011-3
Toledo0-00-03-38-011-3
Ohio0-01-01-08-310-3
Bowling Green0-11-10-36-17-6
Northern Illinois0-00-11-16-47-6
Eastern Michigan0-00-10-36-36-7
Ball State0-10-10-24-44-8
Buffalo0-00-30-23-43-9
Central Michigan0-11-00-24-45-7
Western Michigan0-00-20-34-34-8
Akron0-00-10-32-62-10
Kent State0-00-10-31-71-11

Weekly GameScore Efficiency Rating

Each team's single-game GameScore, week by week — points better (or worse) than an average team, opponent-adjusted. Green = strong, red = weak, centered at 0. Click a week header to rank that week’s performances, or a cell for that game.

TeamWeek 0Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13Week 14
Miami-OH-17.7-4.90.2-18.5-7.226.6-1.0-5.816.0-6.6-7.0-14.310.1
Toledo-4.315.34.8-4.8-10.00.4-3.94.6-6.018.0-0.23.9-11.4
Ohio-14.7-11.6-0.511.030.4-5.5-16.5-17.4-21.40.8-4.3-9.8
Bowling Green1.50.75.2-43.824.4-34.2-7.80.9-13.4-0.7-3.521.0
Northern Illinois-1.3-7.3-21.3-25.03.216.25.6-15.6-19.3-21.09.0-16.9
Eastern Michigan-22.6-20.6-19.6-23.1-14.0-3.6-17.0-13.2-38.8-43.0-24.71.7
Ball State-16.3-15.3-4.1-44.3-33.5-32.8-10.5-10.5-6.3-1.8-3.7-3.0
Buffalo-16.9-23.1-19.7-14.7-19.2-2.6-13.7-10.8-10.2-21.0-12.1-39.9
Central Michigan-28.1-14.70.112.3-22.5-29.7-19.1-20.0-3.6-25.6-14.3-18.4
Western Michigan-15.4-46.4-16.5-12.20.5-15.4-18.8-3.6-0.2-7.5-34.4-43.3
Akron-21.3-35.1-19.9-4.0-20.7-46.8-19.1-28.3-25.6-18.4-19.5-16.3
Kent State-32.4-24.8-16.8-41.7-25.4-28.2-34.6-36.6-27.8-34.3-41.9-21.2