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Massachusetts

University of Massachusetts Amherst · 2022 · FBS Independents

FanBoardHQ CFP
#131
Efficiency
-26.7
130th FBS
Record
1-11
Conf. record
0-3
Conf. finish
T-6th
of 7
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Massachusetts went 1-11 and was ranked 131st in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 126th-ranked defense carried them, with a 130th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 64% of offensive plays with a 136th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 36% of plays with a 132nd-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
0-1
Q3
0-1
Q4
1-8

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 1.0 wins
Strength of Record
131st
-8.8 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
111th
full season
111th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
9th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~3.6 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ TulaneAmerican Athletic#19L 1042-41.50%-21.1Q1
2@ ToledoMid-American#69L 1055-25.60%-42.9Q3
3vs Stony BrookCAAW 203+14.0100%-22.5Q4
4@ TempleAmerican Athletic#116L 028-18.70%-35.2Q4
5@ Eastern MichiganMid-American#75L 1320-19.50%-14.9Q4
6vs LibertyFBS Independents#71L 2442-19.30%-29.5Q4
7vs BuffaloMid-American#87L 734-16.30%-36.9Q4
9vs New Mexico StateFBS Independents#93L 1323-8.60%-27.9Q4
10@ UConnFBS Independents#99L 1027-14.60%-30.7Q4
11@ Arkansas StateSun Belt#118L 3335-15.90%-14.0Q4
12@ Texas A&MSEC#68L 320-34.70%-7.8Q2
13vs ArmyFBS Independents#84L 744-18.20%-37.5Q4

12 played · 1-11. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Massachusetts, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-39.5-21.5-3.4-21-43-23-35-15-30-37-28-31-14-8-38Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 132nd
SR 132ndYPP 133rdEPA 127th
RushingEff 136th
SR 136thYPP 134thEPA 135th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 68th
SR 48thYPP 94thEPA 66th
Rush defenseEff 122nd
SR 92ndYPP 131stEPA 121st
Dropback rate 36%Tempo -4.1 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 81st on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 33%1st · Defense allowed: 41%1st2nd · Offense: 29%2nd · Defense allowed: 44%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 35%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 34%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 37.0Q1 · Allowed: 48.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 56.0Q2 · Allowed: 131.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 20.0Q3 · Allowed: 113.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 24.0Q4 · Allowed: 76.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledMassachusettsOffenseDefense
Massachusetts Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 130th
-16.1
Field position: -2.1Finishing drives: -14.0
Field position -2.1Finishing drives -14.0= -16.1
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 127th · Finishing 129th

Defensive EffRanked 126th
-10.2
Field position: -3.9Finishing drives: -6.2
Field position -3.9Finishing drives -6.2= -10.2
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 130th · Finishing 111th

0.89 points per drive on offense, 2.27 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 28.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(206)36% / 64%43%4.9
Q2(233)34% / 66%32%4.5
Q3(158)36% / 64%23%3.7
Q4(187)45% / 55%28%3.9
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(88)10.134%4.2
2nd(92)8.227%4.3
3rd(100)8.325%4.3
4th(16)6.338%5.1
All (296)29%4.3
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(221)9.932%3.9
2nd(168)8.030%4.8
3rd(88)5.440%4.4
4th(11)1.882%3.7
All (488)34%4.3

Massachusetts, all games.

Massachusetts Football 2022 — Efficiency & Rankings · FanBoardHQ