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UConn

University of Connecticut · 2026 · FBS Independents

Efficiency
-9.5
105th FBS
Record
1-1
Conf. record
Conf. finish
T-1st
proj. of 2
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UConn is 1-1 and ranked 105th in overall efficiency. Their 89th-ranked offense is the engine, backed by a 122nd-ranked defense. They run the ball on 53% of offensive plays with a 47th-ranked rushing attack and pass the ball on the remaining 47% of plays with a 49th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-0
Q3
0-1
+2 left
Q4
1-0
+8 left

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 5.4 wins
Strength of Record
106th
-0.7 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
85th
full season
118th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
1 = toughest (FBS)

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs LafayettePatriotW 567+29.6100%2.2Q4
2vs MarylandBig Ten#46L 1438-12.60%-20.6Q3
3@ Southern MissSun Belt#86Preview-7.832%Q3
4@ Miami-OHMid-American#96Preview-5.637%Q4
5vs SyracuseACC#71Preview-4.539%Q4
6@ TempleAmerican Athletic#87Preview-7.633%Q3
8vs MassachusettsMid-American#121Preview+7.968%Q4
9@ Air ForceMountain West#95Preview-5.737%Q4
10vs North CarolinaACC#62Preview-8.331%Q4
11vs James MadisonSun Belt#75Preview-3.941%Q4
12vs Old DominionSun Belt#106Preview+2.856%Q4
13@ WyomingMountain West#132Preview+7.066%Q4

2 played · 1-1. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on UConn, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-18.8-9.2+0.42-21Week 0Week 2
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 49th
SR 65thYPP 47thEPA 42nd
RushingEff 47th
SR 65thYPP 49thEPA 38th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 80th
SR 82ndYPP 74thEPA 88th
Rush defenseEff 87th
SR 127thYPP 14thEPA 90th
Dropback rate 47%Tempo -3.0 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 38th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 44%1st · Defense allowed: 37%1st2nd · Offense: 48%2nd · Defense allowed: 38%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 41%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 43%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 28.0Q1 · Allowed: 7.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 14.0Q2 · Allowed: 10.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 21.0Q3 · Allowed: 14.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 7.0Q4 · Allowed: 14.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledUConnOffenseDefense
UConn Offense vs Defense, 2026
Offensive EffRanked 89th
-3.2
Field position: +1.3Finishing drives: -4.5
Field position +1.3Finishing drives -4.5= -3.2
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 28th · Finishing 100th

Defensive EffRanked 122nd
-7.0
Field position: +0.4Finishing drives: -7.4
Field position +0.4Finishing drives -7.4= -7.0
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 55th · Finishing 126th

2.80 points per drive on offense, 1.80 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 29.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(41)44% / 56%54%7.9
Q2(32)53% / 47%41%6.3
Q3(24)42% / 58%50%10.5
Q4(24)46% / 54%29%6.1
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(22)10.845%9.1
2nd(14)8.450%12.4
3rd(15)8.440%8.9
4th(5)4.640%5.5
All (56)45%9.6
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(32)10.544%6.1
2nd(26)7.746%6.7
3rd(7)7.143%3.1
4th(0)
All (65)45%6.0

UConn, all games.