FanBoardHQ

BYU

Brigham Young University · 2022 · FBS Independents

FanBoardHQ CFP
#57
Efficiency
+0.3
64th FBS
Record
8-5
Conf. record
0-2
Conf. finish
T-6th
of 7
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BYU went 8-5 and was ranked 57th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 33rd-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 100th-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 50% of offensive plays with a 57th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 50% of plays with a 22nd-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-2
Q2
2-1
Q3
2-2
Q4
4-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 8.0 wins
Strength of Record
54th
-1.4 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
70th
full season
70th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
2nd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~1.3 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ South FloridaAmerican Athletic#130W 5021+13.1100%24.4Q4
2vs BaylorBig 12#54W 2620-5.4100%6.2Q2
3@ OregonPac-12#11L 2041-18.90%-11.8Q1
4vs WyomingMountain West#83W 3824+13.1100%3.4Q4
5vs Utah StateMountain West#98W 3826+17.1100%-0.7Q4
6vs Notre DameFBS Independents#21L 2028-11.40%1.9Q1
7vs ArkansasSEC#38L 3552-5.70%-9.0Q2
8@ LibertyFBS Independents#71L 1441+2.20%-29.4Q3
9vs East CarolinaAmerican Athletic#58L 2427-0.10%-1.1Q3
10@ Boise StateMountain West#50W 3128-6.0100%9.5Q2
12vs Utah TechWestern AthleticW 5226+28.9100%-7.9Q4
13@ StanfordPac-12#102W 3526+4.1100%12.0Q3
Postseason
vs SMUAmerican Athletic#64W 2423-2.2100%4.0Q3

13 played · 8-5. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on BYU, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-25.1-2.5+20.1246-123-12-9-29-110-812Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 22nd
SR 29thYPP 28thEPA 19th
RushingEff 57th
SR 75thYPP 41stEPA 53rd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 103rd
SR 133rdYPP 89thEPA 90th
Rush defenseEff 92nd
SR 103rdYPP 84thEPA 94th
Dropback rate 50%Tempo -4.7 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 61st on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 47%1st · Defense allowed: 48%1st2nd · Offense: 46%2nd · Defense allowed: 48%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 44%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 48%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 104.0Q1 · Allowed: 66.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 100.0Q2 · Allowed: 134.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 97.0Q3 · Allowed: 87.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 86.0Q4 · Allowed: 107.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledBYUOffenseDefense
BYU Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 33rd
+5.7
Field position: -1.0Finishing drives: +6.7
Field position -1.0Finishing drives +6.7= +5.7
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 102nd · Finishing 26th

Defensive EffRanked 100th
-4.8
Field position: +1.8Finishing drives: -6.6
Field position +1.8Finishing drives -6.6= -4.8
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 16th · Finishing 116th

2.70 points per drive on offense, 2.65 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 29.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(193)47% / 53%46%7.0
Q2(210)60% / 40%45%6.7
Q3(230)48% / 52%52%7.1
Q4(190)40% / 60%41%6.3
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(195)10.252%8.8
2nd(113)8.746%7.3
3rd(84)7.142%7.0
4th(11)5.727%3.8
All (403)47%7.9
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(182)9.842%5.9
2nd(151)6.646%5.6
3rd(74)5.750%6.2
4th(13)2.538%1.7
All (420)45%5.7

BYU, all games.