FanBoardHQ

Boston College

Boston College · 2023 · ACC

FanBoardHQ CFP
#73
Efficiency
-5.1
88th FBS
Record
7-6
Conf. record
3-5
Conf. finish
T-9th
of 14
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Boston College went 7-6 and was ranked 73rd in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 51st-ranked offense was the engine, backed by an 117th-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 62% of offensive plays with an 18th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 38% of plays with a 109th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-2
Q2
2-1
Q3
1-2
Q4
4-1

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 7.0 wins
Strength of Record
62nd
-2.4 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
67th
full season
67th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
49th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.3 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Northern IllinoisMid-American#84L 2427+5.30%-11.4Q4
2vs Holy CrossPatriotW 3128+6.5100%-8.1Q4
3vs Florida StateACC#9L 2931-17.70%10.2Q1
4@ LouisvilleACC#21L 2856-20.80%-21.8Q1
5vs VirginiaACC#101W 2724+1.6100%-3.1Q4
6@ ArmyFBS Independents#83W 2724-0.1100%0.3Q4
8@ Georgia TechACC#51W 3823-10.0100%19.8Q2
9vs UConnFBS Independents#122W 2114+14.2100%-12.3Q4
10@ SyracuseACC#81W 1710-2.9100%3.6Q3
11vs Virginia TechACC#58L 2248-8.10%-30.4Q3
12@ PittsburghACC#103L 1624-4.50%-10.2Q3
13vs Miami-FLACC#48L 2045-9.80%-21.5Q2
Postseason
vs SMUAmerican Athletic#31W 2314-15.2100%18.7Q2

13 played · 7-6. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Boston College, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-26.4-5.3+15.8-11-810-22-3020-124-30-10-22Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 109th
SR 107thYPP 97thEPA 109th
RushingEff 18th
SR 34thYPP 38thEPA 11th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 113th
SR 121stYPP 110thEPA 113th
Rush defenseEff 95th
SR 69thYPP 99thEPA 100th
Dropback rate 38%Tempo +5.7 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 55th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 41%1st · Defense allowed: 42%1st2nd · Offense: 39%2nd · Defense allowed: 42%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 48%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 47%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 54.0Q1 · Allowed: 65.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 79.0Q2 · Allowed: 139.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 66.0Q3 · Allowed: 84.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 93.0Q4 · Allowed: 61.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledBoston CollegeOffenseDefense
Boston College Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 51st
+1.2
Field position: -1.3Finishing drives: +2.4
Field position -1.3Finishing drives +2.4= +1.2
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 107th · Finishing 46th

Defensive EffRanked 117th
-7.2
Field position: +0.3Finishing drives: -7.5
Field position +0.3Finishing drives -7.5= -7.2
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 55th · Finishing 123rd

2.01 points per drive on offense, 2.30 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 29.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(200)43% / 57%38%5.1
Q2(243)45% / 55%42%5.5
Q3(211)40% / 60%46%6.3
Q4(239)39% / 61%43%5.4
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(148)9.838%5.4
2nd(126)8.536%5.2
3rd(91)9.634%7.9
4th(8)8.150%9.1
All (373)36%6.0
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(241)9.843%5.5
2nd(156)6.942%4.9
3rd(93)5.551%5.9
4th(30)2.383%4.4
All (520)46%5.3

Boston College, all games.