FanBoardHQ

Ohio

Ohio University · 2023 · Mid-American

FanBoardHQ CFP
#54
Efficiency
-3.3
77th FBS
Record
10-3
Conf. record
6-2
Conf. finish
3rd
of 12
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Ohio went 10-3 and was ranked 54th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 38th-ranked defense carried them, with a 101st-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 52% of offensive plays with a 130th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 48% of plays with a 51st-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
1-0
Q3
1-0
Q4
8-3

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 10.0 wins
Strength of Record
43rd
-1.5 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
131st
full season
131st
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
122nd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.3 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
0@ San Diego StateMountain West#108L 1320+4.20%-14.7Q4
1vs Long Island UniversityNECW 2710+34.9100%-11.6Q4
2@ Florida AtlanticAmerican Athletic#111W 1710+3.7100%-0.5Q4
3vs Iowa StateBig 12#39W 107-11.2100%11.0Q2
4@ Bowling GreenMid-American#75W 387-1.5100%30.4Q3
6vs Kent StateMid-American#133W 4217+30.0100%-5.5Q4
7@ Northern IllinoisMid-American#84L 1323+1.60%-16.5Q4
8vs Western MichiganMid-American#117W 2017+17.3100%-17.4Q4
9vs Miami-OHMid-American#44L 1630+1.60%-21.4Q4
11@ BuffaloMid-American#124W 2010+11.0100%0.8Q4
12vs Central MichiganMid-American#107W 3420+14.8100%-4.3Q4
13@ AkronMid-American#132W 2514+16.9100%-9.8Q4
Postseason
vs Georgia SouthernSun Belt#95W 4121+5.5100%13.4Q4

13 played · 10-3. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Ohio, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-17.3+4.5+26.2-15-12-11130-5-16-17-211-4-10Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 51st
SR 26thYPP 86thEPA 53rd
RushingEff 130th
SR 116thYPP 133rdEPA 130th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 66th
SR 69thYPP 62ndEPA 64th
Rush defenseEff 19th
SR 37thYPP 13thEPA 18th
Dropback rate 48%Tempo +3.2 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 88th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 45%1st · Defense allowed: 36%1st2nd · Offense: 44%2nd · Defense allowed: 36%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 47%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 35%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 45.0Q1 · Allowed: 10.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 85.0Q2 · Allowed: 57.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 104.0Q3 · Allowed: 54.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 61.0Q4 · Allowed: 79.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledOhioOffenseDefense
Ohio Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 101st
-5.5
Field position: +0.7Finishing drives: -6.2
Field position +0.7Finishing drives -6.2= -5.5
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 38th · Finishing 111th

Defensive EffRanked 38th
+3.3
Field position: -1.3Finishing drives: +4.6
Field position -1.3Finishing drives +4.6= +3.3
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 107th · Finishing 27th

2.17 points per drive on offense, 1.41 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 32.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(191)49% / 51%41%5.6
Q2(233)53% / 47%46%5.2
Q3(224)45% / 55%50%6.0
Q4(209)38% / 62%42%4.7
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(170)10.050%7.2
2nd(115)8.745%6.7
3rd(105)6.943%5.3
4th(8)3.550%4.9
All (398)47%6.5
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(205)9.840%4.2
2nd(169)6.844%4.8
3rd(77)5.152%4.3
4th(8)5.150%3.3
All (459)44%4.4

Ohio, all games.