FanBoardHQ

Akron

University of Akron · 2023 · Mid-American

FanBoardHQ CFP
#132
Efficiency
-22.9
131st FBS
Record
2-10
Conf. record
1-7
Conf. finish
11th
of 12
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Akron went 2-10 and was ranked 132nd in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 119th-ranked defense carried them, with a 131st-ranked offense. They passed the ball on 60% of offensive plays with a 136th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 40% of plays with a 97th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-1
Q3
0-3
Q4
2-6

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 2.0 wins
Strength of Record
132nd
-8.4 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
129th
full season
129th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
116th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.1 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ TempleAmerican Athletic#129L 2124-4.40%-21.3Q4
2vs Morgan StateMEACW 2421+11.1100%-35.1Q4
3@ KentuckySEC#41L 335-32.70%-19.9Q2
4@ IndianaBig Ten#104L 2729-20.50%-4.0Q3
5vs BuffaloMid-American#124L 1013-3.20%-20.7Q4
6vs Northern IllinoisMid-American#84L 1455-12.50%-46.8Q4
7@ Central MichiganMid-American#107L 1017-10.40%-19.1Q4
8@ Bowling GreenMid-American#75L 1441-21.10%-28.3Q3
10vs Kent StateMid-American#133W 3127+10.3100%-25.6Q4
11@ Miami-OHMid-American#44L 019-23.50%-18.4Q3
12@ Eastern MichiganMid-American#112L 2730-4.50%-19.5Q4
13vs OhioMid-American#54L 1425-16.90%-16.3Q4

12 played · 2-10. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Akron, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-43.0-23.4-3.7-21-35-20-4-21-47-19-28-26-18-19-16Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 136th
SR 134thYPP 136thEPA 133rd
RushingEff 97th
SR 97thYPP 98thEPA 93rd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 87th
SR 66thYPP 103rdEPA 87th
Rush defenseEff 94th
SR 107thYPP 75thEPA 96th
Dropback rate 60%Tempo -2.8 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 91st on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 35%1st · Defense allowed: 39%1st2nd · Offense: 40%2nd · Defense allowed: 39%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 36%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 40%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 41.0Q1 · Allowed: 34.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 58.0Q2 · Allowed: 110.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 17.0Q3 · Allowed: 115.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 57.0Q4 · Allowed: 57.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledAkronOffenseDefense
Akron Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 131st
-14.1
Field position: -1.7Finishing drives: -12.4
Field position -1.7Finishing drives -12.4= -14.1
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 119th · Finishing 129th

Defensive EffRanked 119th
-7.6
Field position: -2.1Finishing drives: -5.4
Field position -2.1Finishing drives -5.4= -7.6
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 128th · Finishing 110th

1.12 points per drive on offense, 2.17 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(171)48% / 52%37%4.4
Q2(183)58% / 42%36%4.6
Q3(162)69% / 31%34%4.0
Q4(212)70% / 30%40%4.8
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(170)10.441%4.8
2nd(149)9.238%5.1
3rd(111)9.223%3.6
4th(17)5.135%1.4
All (447)35%4.5
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(128)10.128%3.8
2nd(98)6.645%5.0
3rd(49)3.963%4.9
4th(5)3.660%5.4
All (281)41%4.5

Akron, all games.