FanBoardHQ

Memphis

University of Memphis · 2024 · American Athletic

FanBoardHQ CFP
#38
Efficiency
+2.6
58th FBS
Record
11-2
Conf. record
6-2
Conf. finish
4th
of 14
Memphis Fanboard →

Memphis went 11-2 and was ranked 38th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 46th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 66th-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 55% of offensive plays with a 90th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 45% of plays with a 48th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
1-1
Q3
1-1
Q4
9-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 11.0 wins
Strength of Record
30th
-0.1 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
115th
full season
115th
CFP committee
#25
FanBoardHQ has them 13 spots lower
Conf. sched. difficulty
89th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.5 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs North AlabamaUACW 400+30.0100%15.7Q4
2vs TroySun Belt#113W 3817+16.7100%14.5Q4
3@ Florida StateACC#117W 2012+7.0100%0.9Q4
4@ NavyAmerican Athletic#35L 4456-7.70%-4.8Q2
5vs Middle TennesseeConference USA#130W 247+34.5100%-13.0Q4
7vs South FloridaAmerican Athletic#82W 213+9.7100%9.6Q4
8vs North TexasAmerican Athletic#92W 5244+11.6100%-1.5Q4
9vs CharlotteAmerican Athletic#104W 3328+21.4100%-13.9Q4
10@ UTSAAmerican Athletic#81L 3644+4.70%-12.4Q3
11vs RiceAmerican Athletic#109W 2720+14.8100%-5.4Q4
12vs UABAmerican Athletic#121W 5318+20.4100%12.6Q4
14@ TulaneAmerican Athletic#42W 3424-10.9100%26.4Q2
Postseason
vs West VirginiaBig 12#68W 4237+3.4100%5.1Q3

13 played · 11-2. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Memphis, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-10.7+6.2+23.216141-5-1310-2-14-12-51326Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 90th
SR 104thYPP 104thEPA 77th
RushingEff 48th
SR 71stYPP 44thEPA 47th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 97th
SR 82ndYPP 85thEPA 110th
Rush defenseEff 71st
SR 79thYPP 70thEPA 69th
Dropback rate 55%Tempo +6.8 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 86th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 43%1st · Defense allowed: 40%1st2nd · Offense: 42%2nd · Defense allowed: 38%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 47%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 43%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 93.0Q1 · Allowed: 65.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 154.0Q2 · Allowed: 78.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 86.0Q3 · Allowed: 51.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 124.0Q4 · Allowed: 111.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledMemphisOffenseDefense
Memphis Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 46th
+2.5
Field position: +0.2Finishing drives: +2.3
Field position +0.2Finishing drives +2.3= +2.5
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 50th · Finishing 52nd

Defensive EffRanked 66th
+0.1
Field position: +1.7Finishing drives: -1.6
Field position +1.7Finishing drives -1.6= +0.1
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 16th · Finishing 80th

2.94 points per drive on offense, 1.99 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 33.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(230)60% / 40%43%6.1
Q2(258)59% / 41%42%6.1
Q3(201)54% / 46%46%6.2
Q4(227)42% / 58%44%6.8
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(202)10.044%6.4
2nd(161)8.936%6.6
3rd(121)7.346%8.4
4th(10)5.740%5.0
All (494)42%6.9
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(213)9.443%5.4
2nd(141)6.650%5.6
3rd(56)5.246%6.7
4th(12)1.367%2.6
All (422)46%5.6

Memphis, all games.