FanBoardHQ

UTSA

University of Texas at San Antonio · 2024 · American Athletic

FanBoardHQ CFP
#81
Efficiency
-4.8
85th FBS
Record
7-6
Conf. record
4-4
Conf. finish
T-6th
of 14
UTSA Fanboard →

UTSA went 7-6 and was ranked 81st in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 81st-ranked offense was the engine, backed by an 84th-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 55% of offensive plays with an 88th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 45% of plays with a 92nd-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
0-2
Q3
1-0
Q4
6-3

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 7.0 wins
Strength of Record
76th
-3.6 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
95th
full season
95th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
100th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.8 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Kennesaw StateConference USA#132W 2816+21.9100%-14.3Q4
2@ Texas StateSun Belt#63L 1049-10.30%-28.4Q2
3@ TexasSEC#5L 756-31.70%-9.1Q1
4vs Houston ChristianSouthlandW 457+26.6100%5.0Q4
5@ East CarolinaAmerican Athletic#78L 2030+0.60%-13.8Q4
7@ RiceAmerican Athletic#109L 2729+1.90%-9.5Q4
8vs Florida AtlanticAmerican Athletic#124W 3824+14.9100%-8.4Q4
9@ TulsaAmerican Athletic#131L 4546+23.80%-24.3Q4
10vs MemphisAmerican Athletic#38W 4436-4.7100%10.2Q3
12vs North TexasAmerican Athletic#92W 4827+4.1100%5.5Q4
13vs TempleAmerican Athletic#123W 5127+17.5100%-5.3Q4
14@ ArmyAmerican Athletic#28L 2429-19.50%9.0Q2
Postseason
vs Coastal CarolinaSun Belt#96W 4415+6.0100%20.4Q4

13 played · 7-6. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on UTSA, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-25.4-9.1+7.1-14-28-95-14-9-8-24105-59Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 88th
SR 79thYPP 86thEPA 97th
RushingEff 92nd
SR 121stYPP 75thEPA 81st
Defense
Pass defenseEff 91st
SR 69thYPP 105thEPA 91st
Rush defenseEff 69th
SR 52ndYPP 76thEPA 75th
Dropback rate 55%Tempo +7.8 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 88th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 41%1st · Defense allowed: 35%1st2nd · Offense: 40%2nd · Defense allowed: 36%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 41%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 33%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 96.0Q1 · Allowed: 61.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 137.0Q2 · Allowed: 120.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 67.0Q3 · Allowed: 86.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 108.0Q4 · Allowed: 107.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledUTSAOffenseDefense
UTSA Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 81st
-2.3
Field position: +1.3Finishing drives: -3.7
Field position +1.3Finishing drives -3.7= -2.3
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 23rd · Finishing 95th

Defensive EffRanked 84th
-2.1
Field position: -2.2Finishing drives: +0.1
Field position -2.2Finishing drives +0.1= -2.1
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 127th · Finishing 67th

1.97 points per drive on offense, 1.94 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 34.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(229)54% / 46%46%6.4
Q2(264)56% / 44%47%7.5
Q3(253)56% / 44%38%5.1
Q4(240)48% / 52%33%5.5
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(192)10.046%6.3
2nd(182)7.643%8.3
3rd(136)7.540%5.8
4th(18)4.039%3.4
All (528)43%6.8
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(224)10.137%5.8
2nd(147)7.937%4.4
3rd(75)6.148%5.8
4th(12)2.125%6.6
All (458)38%5.4

UTSA, all games.