FanBoardHQ

UAB

University of Alabama at Birmingham · 2024 · American Athletic

FanBoardHQ CFP
#121
Efficiency
-15.0
120th FBS
Record
3-9
Conf. record
2-6
Conf. finish
T-11th
of 14
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UAB went 3-9 and was ranked 121st in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 99th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 124th-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 56% of offensive plays with an 87th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 44% of plays with a 69th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-4
Q3
0-1
Q4
3-4

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 3.0 wins
Strength of Record
118th
-6.4 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
82nd
full season
82nd
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
69th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.1 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Alcorn StateSWACW 413+24.2100%-4.9Q4
2@ ULMSun Belt#99L 632-7.00%-35.6Q4
3@ ArkansasSEC#44L 2737-25.20%-2.2Q2
5vs NavyAmerican Athletic#35L 1841-19.80%-28.6Q3
6vs TulaneAmerican Athletic#42L 2071-23.00%-38.6Q2
7@ ArmyAmerican Athletic#28L 1044-29.70%-34.0Q2
8@ South FloridaAmerican Athletic#82L 2535-10.70%-13.9Q4
10vs TulsaAmerican Athletic#131W 5921+19.1100%15.8Q4
11vs UConnFBS Independents#57L 2331-11.10%-11.8Q4
12@ MemphisAmerican Athletic#38L 1853-20.40%-25.0Q2
13vs RiceAmerican Athletic#109W 4014-2.8100%13.2Q4
14@ CharlotteAmerican Athletic#104L 2729-1.70%-15.1Q4

12 played · 3-9. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on UAB, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-34.2-11.4+11.5-5-36-2-29-39-34-1416-12-2513-15Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 87th
SR 69thYPP 100thEPA 90th
RushingEff 69th
SR 56thYPP 84thEPA 64th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 68th
SR 44thYPP 78thEPA 78th
Rush defenseEff 110th
SR 128thYPP 84thEPA 109th
Dropback rate 56%Tempo +2.3 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 78th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 49%1st · Defense allowed: 43%1st2nd · Offense: 43%2nd · Defense allowed: 48%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 40%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 44%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 77.0Q1 · Allowed: 78.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 97.0Q2 · Allowed: 82.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 40.0Q3 · Allowed: 87.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 80.0Q4 · Allowed: 117.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledUABOffenseDefense
UAB Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 99th
-4.3
Field position: -0.0Finishing drives: -4.3
Field position -0.0Finishing drives -4.3= -4.3
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 66th · Finishing 100th

Defensive EffRanked 124th
-10.2
Field position: -2.9Finishing drives: -7.2
Field position -2.9Finishing drives -7.2= -10.2
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 132nd · Finishing 115th

1.99 points per drive on offense, 2.22 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 28.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(236)58% / 42%44%5.3
Q2(231)55% / 45%48%6.7
Q3(154)56% / 44%44%6.3
Q4(218)62% / 38%44%5.6
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(205)10.252%7.5
2nd(142)9.338%5.8
3rd(117)8.132%5.4
4th(21)5.838%6.1
All (485)42%6.4
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(168)10.045%5.0
2nd(128)6.548%5.3
3rd(50)5.656%6.7
4th(8)1.863%3.9
All (354)48%5.3

UAB, all games.