Central Michigan
Central Michigan University · 2023 · Mid-American
Central Michigan went 5-7 and was ranked 107th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 102nd-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 124th-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 56% of offensive plays with a 73rd-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 44% of plays with an 119th-ranked passing attack.
Quadrant record
By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.
Projected wins
Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.
The resume
Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).
| Wk | Opponent | Conf | Opp rank | Result | Exp. margin | Win prob | GameScore | Quad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Michigan State | Big Ten | #90 | L 7–31 | -11.3 | 0% | -28.1 | Q4 |
| 2 | vs New Hampshire | Coastal Athletic | — | W 45–42 | -0.7 | 100% | -14.7 | Q4 |
| 3 | @ Notre Dame | FBS Independents | #13 | L 17–41 | -40.0 | 0% | 0.1 | Q1 |
| 4 | @ South Alabama | Sun Belt | #70 | W 34–30 | -22.0 | 100% | 12.3 | Q2 |
| 5 | vs Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | #112 | W 26–23 | +8.7 | 100% | -22.5 | Q4 |
| 6 | @ Buffalo | Mid-American | #124 | L 13–37 | -1.0 | 0% | -29.7 | Q4 |
| 7 | vs Akron | Mid-American | #132 | W 17–10 | +10.4 | 100% | -19.1 | Q4 |
| 8 | @ Ball State | Mid-American | #116 | L 17–24 | -2.9 | 0% | -20.0 | Q4 |
| 10 | vs Northern Illinois | Mid-American | #84 | W 37–31 | -4.9 | 100% | -3.6 | Q4 |
| 11 | @ Western Michigan | Mid-American | #117 | L 28–38 | -0.3 | 0% | -25.6 | Q4 |
| 12 | @ Ohio | Mid-American | #54 | L 20–34 | -14.8 | 0% | -14.3 | Q3 |
| 13 | vs Toledo | Mid-American | #43 | L 17–32 | -13.4 | 0% | -18.4 | Q3 |
12 played · 5-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.
The season
The model’s read on Central Michigan, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.
Passing & rushing
Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.
Their offense vs. what their defense allows.
Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.
What kind of team is this?
Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.
Field position 128th · Finishing 89th
Field position 70th · Finishing 126th
1.95 points per drive on offense, 2.50 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 29.
Play-calling & efficiency
What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.
| Quarter (att.) | Pass / rush | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1(187) | 43% / 57% | 40% | 5.6 |
| Q2(204) | 47% / 53% | 39% | 5.3 |
| Q3(187) | 43% / 57% | 43% | 6.2 |
| Q4(190) | 52% / 48% | 37% | 4.6 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(150) | 10.3 | 38% | 5.5 |
| 2nd(100) | 9.3 | 36% | 5.2 |
| 3rd(96) | 9.0 | 31% | 6.3 |
| 4th(8) | 6.3 | 50% | 11.5 |
| All (354) | — | 36% | 5.7 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(184) | 10.0 | 42% | 5.2 |
| 2nd(148) | 7.6 | 39% | 5.4 |
| 3rd(67) | 5.2 | 45% | 5.1 |
| 4th(15) | 2.5 | 80% | 3.0 |
| All (414) | — | 43% | 5.2 |
Central Michigan, all games.