FanBoardHQ

Kent State

Kent State University · 2023 · Mid-American

FanBoardHQ CFP
#133
Efficiency
-30.5
133rd FBS
Record
1-11
Conf. record
0-8
Conf. finish
12th
of 12
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Kent State went 1-11 and was ranked 133rd in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 126th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 133rd-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 54% of offensive plays with a 138th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 46% of plays with a 107th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-1
Q3
0-3
Q4
1-7

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 1.0 wins
Strength of Record
133rd
-9.1 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
125th
full season
125th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
117th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.2 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ UCFBig 12#56L 656-40.80%-32.4Q2
2@ ArkansasSEC#85L 628-33.10%-24.8Q3
3vs Central ConnecticutNECW 3810+17.7100%-16.8Q4
4@ Fresno StateMountain West#57L 1053-31.80%-41.7Q3
5vs Miami-OHMid-American#44L 323-25.60%-25.4Q4
6@ OhioMid-American#54L 1742-30.00%-28.2Q3
7@ Eastern MichiganMid-American#112L 1428-12.00%-34.6Q4
8vs BuffaloMid-American#124L 624-10.70%-36.6Q4
10@ AkronMid-American#132L 2731-10.30%-27.8Q4
11vs Bowling GreenMid-American#75L 1949-23.20%-34.3Q4
12@ Ball StateMid-American#116L 334-18.10%-41.9Q4
13vs Northern IllinoisMid-American#84L 2737-20.10%-21.2Q4

12 played · 1-11. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Kent State, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-38.5-21.0-3.4-32-25-17-42-25-28-35-37-28-34-42-21Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 107th
SR 92ndYPP 116thEPA 106th
RushingEff 138th
SR 138thYPP 136thEPA 135th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 136th
SR 132ndYPP 137thEPA 136th
Rush defenseEff 111th
SR 117thYPP 91stEPA 117th
Dropback rate 46%Tempo -6.3 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 75th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 34%1st · Defense allowed: 44%1st2nd · Offense: 37%2nd · Defense allowed: 42%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 33%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 50%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 46.0Q1 · Allowed: 86.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 57.0Q2 · Allowed: 100.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 47.0Q3 · Allowed: 97.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 28.0Q4 · Allowed: 111.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledKent StateOffenseDefense
Kent State Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 126th
-12.1
Field position: -2.8Finishing drives: -9.3
Field position -2.8Finishing drives -9.3= -12.1
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 130th · Finishing 120th

Defensive EffRanked 133rd
-17.7
Field position: -1.6Finishing drives: -16.1
Field position -1.6Finishing drives -16.1= -17.7
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 118th · Finishing 133rd

1.25 points per drive on offense, 2.70 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 29.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(205)40% / 60%40%4.7
Q2(209)42% / 58%33%4.4
Q3(165)48% / 52%34%5.5
Q4(163)58% / 42%29%3.8
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(101)10.041%6.0
2nd(128)8.744%6.2
3rd(103)8.225%3.5
4th(13)5.831%1.2
All (345)37%5.1
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(198)10.130%4.2
2nd(118)7.429%4.1
3rd(68)6.338%4.1
4th(13)2.669%5.5
All (397)32%4.2

Kent State, all games.