FanBoardHQ

Miami-OH

Miami University · 2023 · Mid-American

FanBoardHQ CFP
#44
Efficiency
-2.1
70th FBS
Record
11-3
Conf. record
8-1
Conf. finish
T-1st
of 12
Miami-OH Fanboard →

Miami-OH went 11-3 and was ranked 44th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 26th-ranked defense carried them, with a 109th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 57% of offensive plays with a 121st-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 43% of plays with an 83rd-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-1
Q3
3-2
Q4
8-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
Expected: 11.0 wins
Strength of Record
37th
-0.9 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
127th
full season
127th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
130th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.9 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ Miami-FLACC#48L 338-12.30%-17.7Q2
2@ MassachusettsFBS Independents#127W 4128+14.9100%-4.9Q4
3@ CincinnatiBig 12#106W 3124-1.9100%0.2Q3
4vs Delaware StateMEACW 6220+52.2100%-18.5Q4
5@ Kent StateMid-American#133W 233+25.6100%-7.2Q4
6vs Bowling GreenMid-American#75W 270+5.2100%26.6Q4
7@ Western MichiganMid-American#117W 3421+12.9100%-1.0Q4
8vs ToledoMid-American#43L 1721-0.20%-5.8Q3
9@ OhioMid-American#54W 3016-1.6100%16.0Q3
11vs AkronMid-American#132W 190+23.5100%-6.6Q4
12vs BuffaloMid-American#124W 2310+17.6100%-7.0Q4
13@ Ball StateMid-American#116W 1715+10.3100%-14.3Q4
14vs ToledoMid-American#43W 2314-2.9100%10.1Q3
Postseason
vs Appalachian StateSun Belt#52L 913-4.90%-0.6Q3

14 played · 11-3. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Miami-OH, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-14.9+4.0+23.0-18-50-19-727-1-616-7-7-1410Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 83rd
SR 114thYPP 73rdEPA 67th
RushingEff 121st
SR 131stYPP 86thEPA 120th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 57th
SR 82ndYPP 41stEPA 55th
Rush defenseEff 38th
SR 82ndYPP 24thEPA 34th
Dropback rate 43%Tempo -4.8 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 76th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 38%1st · Defense allowed: 45%1st2nd · Offense: 39%2nd · Defense allowed: 42%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 35%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 32%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 96.0Q1 · Allowed: 60.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 87.0Q2 · Allowed: 56.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 98.0Q3 · Allowed: 48.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 66.0Q4 · Allowed: 45.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledMiami-OHOffenseDefense
Miami-OH Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 109th
-6.8
Field position: +2.7Finishing drives: -9.4
Field position +2.7Finishing drives -9.4= -6.8
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 6th · Finishing 121st

Defensive EffRanked 26th
+5.6
Field position: -0.8Finishing drives: +6.4
Field position -0.8Finishing drives +6.4= +5.6
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 93rd · Finishing 19th

2.13 points per drive on offense, 1.26 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 34.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(178)50% / 50%41%6.4
Q2(202)47% / 53%41%6.1
Q3(195)44% / 56%34%6.2
Q4(203)22% / 78%34%4.9
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(116)10.043%7.5
2nd(98)8.641%8.1
3rd(96)7.830%5.3
4th(4)3.825%2.0
All (314)38%6.9
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(228)9.835%4.8
2nd(157)8.038%5.4
3rd(70)6.643%5.8
4th(9)4.233%4.3
All (464)37%5.2

Miami-OH, all games.