FanBoardHQ

Hawai'i

University of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa · 2023 · Mountain West

FanBoardHQ CFP
#109
Efficiency
-15.6
119th FBS
Record
5-8
Conf. record
3-5
Conf. finish
T-8th
of 12
Hawai'i Fanboard →

Hawai'i went 5-8 and was ranked 109th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 108th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 125th-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 64% of offensive plays with an 111th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 36% of plays with a 120th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
0-1
Q3
1-2
Q4
4-4

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 5.0 wins
Strength of Record
102nd
-5.2 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
87th
full season
87th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
92nd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.5 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
0@ VanderbiltSEC#120L 2835-7.00%-10.3Q4
1vs StanfordPac-12#98L 2437-4.70%-27.8Q4
2vs UAlbanyCoastal AthleticW 3120-7.2100%1.2Q4
3@ OregonPac-12#6L 1055-47.90%-12.4Q1
4vs New Mexico StateConference USA#65W 2017-8.5100%-6.3Q4
5@ UNLVMountain West#50L 2044-20.70%-16.7Q2
7vs San Diego StateMountain West#108L 3441-2.60%-19.3Q4
8@ New MexicoMountain West#115L 2142-4.00%-40.5Q4
9vs San José StateMountain West#67L 035-14.60%-34.1Q3
10@ NevadaMountain West#131W 2714+2.1100%-7.0Q4
11vs Air ForceMountain West#45W 2713-16.7100%18.4Q3
12@ WyomingMountain West#42L 942-18.40%-37.7Q3
13vs Colorado StateMountain West#97W 2724-3.6100%-10.3Q4

13 played · 5-8. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Hawai'i, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-35.8-11.1+13.7-10-281-12-6-17-19-41-34-718-38-10Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 111th
SR 95thYPP 117thEPA 118th
RushingEff 120th
SR 88thYPP 132ndEPA 115th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 130th
SR 109thYPP 130thEPA 132nd
Rush defenseEff 116th
SR 116thYPP 114thEPA 114th
Dropback rate 64%Tempo -2.3 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 90th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 46%1st · Defense allowed: 42%1st2nd · Offense: 36%2nd · Defense allowed: 41%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 40%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 47%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 38.0Q1 · Allowed: 111.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 85.0Q2 · Allowed: 112.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 65.0Q3 · Allowed: 75.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 85.0Q4 · Allowed: 100.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledHawai'iOffenseDefense
Hawai'i Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 108th
-6.5
Field position: -0.1Finishing drives: -6.4
Field position -0.1Finishing drives -6.4= -6.5
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 70th · Finishing 113th

Defensive EffRanked 125th
-9.6
Field position: -2.5Finishing drives: -7.2
Field position -2.5Finishing drives -7.2= -9.6
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 129th · Finishing 121st

1.81 points per drive on offense, 2.63 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 27.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(205)62% / 38%40%4.6
Q2(204)74% / 26%44%6.0
Q3(214)68% / 32%41%5.6
Q4(217)65% / 35%41%5.3
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(228)9.947%7.1
2nd(185)7.937%4.7
3rd(133)7.737%5.3
4th(18)5.144%5.9
All (564)41%5.9
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(135)9.843%4.4
2nd(82)7.733%4.6
3rd(47)4.243%4.1
4th(12)2.267%5.3
All (276)41%4.4

Hawai'i, all games.